Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
$22.20+6.68%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BETA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -18.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 209 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 55 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BETA — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-12
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 12, 2026, BETA Technologies, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial and operating results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. In the press release, the Company also announced that it will hold a conference call on August 12, 2026 to discuss its financial and operating results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. The full text of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated he…
Why it matters: More selections would show BETA's lead in the eVTOL market. This could raise future revenue.
Supportive ifBETA will take on more eVTOL Integration Pilot Programs. This is beyond the current seven.
Worry ifNo new selections are announced, and competitors gain more program spots.
Why it matters: Meeting this revenue target shows BETA is on track to reach its full year goal.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue of $10 million or more would support the full year guidance of $42 million to $50 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $10 million. This shows problems in reaching the yearly target.
Why it matters: Meeting the revenue target shows BETA is on track for growth in 2026. This is key for investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue reported between $39 million and $43 million.
Worry ifQ2 revenue falls below $39 million.
Why it matters: Hitting these goals is key for BETA's readiness and entering the market.
Supportive ifCompletion of key FAA certification milestones for H500A and CX300 by the end of Q3.
Worry ifDelays in FAA certification may cause problems. These delays can slow down plans.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$290 on $10,000 · ±2.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $786 loss on $10,000 · 7.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,307 loss on $10,000 · 63.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Meeting this revenue target shows BETA is on track to reach its full year goal of $39M to $43M.
Supportive ifIn Q2 2026, revenue is $10.5 million or more. This shows growth.
Worry ifIn Q2 2026, revenue is less than $10.5 million. This raises worries about annual goals.
Why it matters: Sustained revenue growth is key to achieving the full year 2026 target of $39M to $43M.
Supportive ifRevenue keeps growing each quarter. It hits or goes over $10.5M.
Worry ifRevenue declines or stagnates below $10.5M in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Reaching this goal helps BETA grow and improve operations.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of reaching or exceeding 250 charging sites by the end of Q3.
Worry ifNot expanding beyond 138 sites by Q3 shows delays in building infrastructure.
Why it matters: The industrial sector is maturing. Signs of growth can impact Beta's performance and outlook.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth speeds up to over 5% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth slows down to below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Earnings results will provide insights into financial health and growth. This is a key event for investors.
Watch forEarnings report shows a big win compared to what analysts expected.
Also watch forEarnings report misses expectations or shows a decline in key metrics.
Why it matters: Changes to EBITDA guidance show financial health and good operations. It shows management's focus on costs.
Watch forAdjusted EBITDA guidance is better. It changes from ($400) million to ($445) million.
Also watch forMore cuts to Adjusted EBITDA guidance below ($400) million.
Why it matters: Better Adjusted EBITDA shows better cost control. It also means more efficiency.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA is less negative than ($97.2) million in Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA worsens to more than ($109.8) million in Q3. This shows ongoing cost issues.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this revenue target shows continued growth momentum. It confirms management's guidance for the year.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue is $14.7 million or more. This shows strong demand and good operations.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is less than $14.7 million. This may mean problems with demand or operations.
Why it matters: The earnings call will provide insights into revenue growth and management's outlook.
Watch forPositive comments on revenue growth and future plans during the call.
Also watch forNegative comments or lower plans during the call.