Bunge Global (BG)
NYSEConsumer StaplesAgricultural Farm ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$98.54+1.58%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesAgricultural Farm ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -45.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 49.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BG — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-11-03
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant The information set forth in
Why it matters: The board-approved payment is a set capital return event. A paid dividend would confirm the announced schedule; a change would signal a shift.
Supportive ifBunge pays $0.72 per share on December 1, 2026, as announced.
Worry ifBunge changes, delays, or cancels the $0.72 payment before December 1, 2026.
Why it matters: Bunge named Viterra savings as a key goal, but has not shared a savings total. A clear update would show progress beyond stronger segment results.
Supportive ifBunge reports a dollar amount for Viterra savings. Or it names a finished integration step tied to lower costs.
Worry ifBunge reports no savings amount or named integration step in its next two quarterly reports.
Why it matters: Bunge kept this 2026 forecast after strong Q3 results. Results below the range would weaken the earnings outlook.
Watch forBunge reports 2026 adjusted EPS of at least $9.25, within or above its stated range.
Also watch forBunge cuts its 2026 adjusted EPS forecast below $9.25. Or it reports full-year adjusted EPS below $9.25.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$125 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $311 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,830 loss on $10,000 · 28.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.