BGC Group, Inc. (BGC)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$10.46-7.19%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BGC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -20.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 29.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 20 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BGC — earnings in line
Dated 2026-11-05
of Form 8-K. Such information shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing and as set forth below. Discussion of Forward-Looking Statements about BGC Statements…
Why it matters: BGC reaffirmed its Q3 outlook on September 28. Results inside or above that range would back its growth story.
Watch forOn November 5, Q3 revenue and pre-tax Adjusted Earnings meet or exceed the top of the ranges set on July 30.
Also watch forOn November 5, either Q3 revenue or pre-tax Adjusted Earnings falls below the low end of the July 30 range.
Why it matters: The sector growth trend is easing. A further drop in BGC revenue growth would add to that concern; steady growth would show resilience.
Watch forBGC reports revenue growth above 7.8% year over year, its Q2 growth rate.
Also watch forBGC reports revenue growth below 7.8% year over year in its next results.
Why it matters: The cost plan is marked as a watch item. Measured savings could help offset higher operating costs.
Supportive ifBGC reports at least $25 million in annualized savings from its cost reduction program.
Worry ifBGC reports annual savings below $25 million, or gives no clear progress update with its next results.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$136 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $326 loss on $10,000 · 3.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,968 loss on $10,000 · 19.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.