The Buckle, Inc. (BKE)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$44.37-7.33%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BKE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -0.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 12.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers
BKE — dividend update
Dated 2026-09-15
Other Events On September 15, 2026, The Buckle, Inc. issued a press release announcing a quarterly dividend of $0.35 per share to be paid on October 29, 2026, for shareholders of record at the close of business on October 15, 2026. The full text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. ITEM 9.01(d). Exhibits Exhibit 99.1 Press Release Dated September 15, 2026 Exhibit 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document) SIGNATURES Pursuant to…
Why it matters: Q2 comparable sales rose 2.1%. Faster growth would extend the recent store sales trend.
Supportive ifIn the November 20 results, Q3 comparable sales rise more than 2.1% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 comparable sales are flat or down year over year.
Why it matters: Q2 sales grew, but net income slipped from $45.0 million to $44.4 million. Another drop would show profit pressure.
Worry ifQ3 net income is below $44.4 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 net income is at least $45.0 million, above both recent Q2 results.
Why it matters: Online sales grew 2.3% in Q2. Faster growth would show this channel is gaining pace.
Supportive ifQ3 online sales grow more than 2.3% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 online sales are flat or down year over year.
Why it matters: Buckle sells apparel and footwear. A drop in U.S. retail sales would add pressure to a sector already marked as shrinking.
Worry ifThe November 17 report shows U.S. retail sales down from the prior month.
Less concerning ifThe November 17 report shows U.S. retail sales up from the prior month.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$118 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $294 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,986 loss on $10,000 · 29.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The board set the quarterly dividend at $0.35 for three straight quarters. A cut would break that pattern.
Watch forThe next board update keeps the quarterly dividend at $0.35 per share.
Also watch forThe next board update sets the quarterly dividend below $0.35 per share or suspends it.