Badger Meter, Inc. (BMI)
NYSEInformation TechnologyIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
$159.55-2.56%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BMI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 40.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 31.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 39 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BMI — credit agreement
Dated 2026-06-11
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On June 5, 2026, Badger Meter, Inc. (the “Company”) amended and extended its $150 million multi-currency revolving credit facility, with an extended maturity date of July 8, 2031 (the “Amended Facility”). As of the date hereof, no amounts were outstanding under the facility, either prior to or upon giving effect to the amendment and extension. Borrowings under the Amended Facility will bear interest at varying rates based on the Company’s then-curre…
Why it matters: Utility water sales fell 3% year over year before UDlive. A recovery would show that project timing is improving.
Supportive ifQ4 utility water sales, not counting UDlive, are higher than Q4 2025.
Worry ifQ4 utility water sales, not counting UDlive, are lower than Q4 2025.
Why it matters: Management said Q4 Base sales would rise from both Q3 and last year. That would test whether awarded water projects are ramping.
Supportive ifQ4 Base sales exceed both Q3 Base sales of $230.3 million and Q4 2025 sales.
Worry ifQ4 Base sales are at or below $230.3 million, or fall year over year.
Why it matters: Management tied the project ramp to growth into 2027. Sales growth would support its longer-term growth goal.
Supportive ifA 2027 quarterly report shows Base sales above the same quarter in 2026.
Worry ifA 2027 quarterly report shows Base sales flat or lower year over year.
Why it matters: Q3 margin rose as sales mix improved and costs stayed in check. A similar result would show those gains can last.
Supportive ifQ4 operating margin is at least 20.0%, near Q3's 20.2%.
Worry ifQ4 operating margin falls below 19.0%.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$176 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $328 loss on $10,000 · 3.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,934 loss on $10,000 · 39.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.