Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. (BNL)
NYSEReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-11-04
$17.73-1.66%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BNL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -25.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 35.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BNL — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-10
Other Events. On August 6, 2026, Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. (the “Company”) and Broadstone Net Lease, LLC entered into an Underwriting Agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC and J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, as representatives of the several underwriters named in Schedule 1 thereto (the “Underwriters”), Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC and J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, in their capacities as Forward Sellers (the “Forward Sellers”) and Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC and JPMorgan…
Why it matters: Rent starts turn project spending into rental income. BNL has about $337.6 million left to fund through Q4 2027.
Watch forThe Colorado facility starts rent in March 2027, and the three new projects start rent on their stated dates.
Also watch forA named project misses its stated rent start or needs a lower rent rate than reported.
Why it matters: Q3 AFFO per share rose 5.4% year over year. Two more quarters can show whether growth lasts.
Supportive ifAFFO per share growth is above 5% year over year in each of the next two reported quarters.
Worry ifAFFO per share falls below its year-ago level in either of the next two reported quarters.
Why it matters: Management said BNL remains on track for its $1.55 to $1.57 full-year AFFO range. The year-end result will test that claim.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 AFFO per share is at least $1.55.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 AFFO per share is below $1.55.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$83 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $191 loss on $10,000 · 1.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,618 loss on $10,000 · 26.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.