BranchOut Food Inc (BOF)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.81-1.30%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BOF
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 446.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 74.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 371.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 28 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
BOF — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-28
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On August 26, 2026, BranchOut Food Inc., a Nevada corporation, (the “Company”) entered into an underwriting agreement (the “Underwriting Agreement”) with Lake Street Capital Markets LLC as the representative of the underwriters named therein (the “Representative” and any such other underwriters, the “Underwriters”), relating to the issuance and sale by the Company to the Underwriters (the “Offering”) of 820,588 shares (the “Shares”) of the Company’s…
Why it matters: Successful launches with new retailers can lead to big revenue growth and more brand visibility.
Supportive ifFive new products launch with a leading U.S. mass retailer as planned in September.
Worry ifLaunches are delayed or fail to gain traction, impacting expected revenue growth.
Why it matters: If BranchOut meets its revenue target, it shows strong growth momentum. This would confirm the effectiveness of recent retail wins and increased production.
Supportive ifQ4 revenue was about $6 million or more.
Worry ifQ4 revenue reported below $6 million.
Why it matters: This launch marks a major expansion into a large retail chain. Success here could boost revenue significantly.
Supportive ifThe Crunchy Fruit Chips program started well in September. Consumers liked it.
Worry ifPoor sales or negative feedback from the Crunchy Fruit Chips program in September.
Why it matters: Doubling factory use would make operations better. It would help meet growth goals.
Supportive ifFactory use is rising from 35-40 metric tons to 70-80 metric tons each month.
Worry ifFactory use is under 50 metric tons each month. This shows production problems.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$259 on $10,000 · ±2.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $656 loss on $10,000 · 6.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,634 loss on $10,000 · 36.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth would show BranchOut Food is moving towards its growth goal. It is crucial for investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue was over $2,606,795. This shows growth from last quarter.
Worry ifQ2 revenue continues to decline or stays below $2,606,795.
Why it matters: More production capacity helps revenue growth and efficiency. It shows the company can meet demand.
Supportive ifProduction capacity reported at 70 metric tons or more per month.
Worry ifProduction capacity was below 35 metric tons per month.
Why it matters: Doubling production is key for revenue growth and margin improvement. It shows the company can meet demand.
Supportive ifProduction reaches 70-80 metric tons per month as planned by September.
Worry ifProduction is below 70 metric tons. This shows there may be demand or operational issues.
Why it matters: Hitting this margin target shows better control of costs. It also shows more efficiency.
Supportive ifGross margin is 25% as factory use improves in Q3.
Worry ifGross margin stays below 20%, suggesting ongoing cost challenges.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a positive change in the company's performance. This would be important as the sector is currently maturing.
Supportive ifRevenue growth speeds up again, reaching over 4% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth stays below 4% year over year or slows down.
Why it matters: A better gross margin shows lower costs and more profit. This is key for long-term health.
Supportive ifGross margin was about 25% or higher.
Worry ifGross margin was below 16%. This shows no improvement.