Box, Inc. (BOX)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$35.19-2.14%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BOX
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $35 BOX trades at 29× p/e, in line with its 27× p/e peer median, and our $36 fair value agrees. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $26–$50. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $36.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $95.38 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $97.83 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $17.08 | 13.6 | 1.07 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Around the middle on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$26.00 – $50.00 (median $36.00) · 5 analysts · as of 2026-08-26
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3, 2027-Q1, 2027-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $50.22 |
| 18.5 |
| 2.72 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $29.10 | 17.0 | 1.71 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $33.30 | 3.8 | 8.83 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $17.12 | 14.0 | 1.22 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $34.85 | 27.4 | 1.27 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $63.52 | 18.5 | 3.44 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $33.47 | 17.0 | 1.97 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $39.76 | 3.8 | 10.55 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $27.60 | 14.0 | 1.97 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $74.29 | 18.5 | 4.02 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $36.01 | 17.0 | 2.12 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $42.78 | 3.8 | 11.35 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $29.69 | 14.0 | 2.12 | Analyst | medium |