Box, Inc. (BOX)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-05
$43.55-1.14%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BOX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 13.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 2.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 24 industry peers
BOX — Principal Accounting Officer transition
Dated 2026-10-05
Chief Accounting Officer — Omer Yuhjtman: The filing announces the external hire of a new VP, Finance and Chief Accounting Officer to succeed a resigning officer, representing an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Box tied its growth plan to Enterprise Advanced and AI adoption. Q3 results test whether that growth continues.
Watch forOn December 1, Q3 revenue is at least $329 million, with year-over-year growth near or above 9%.
Also watch forQ3 revenue is below $329 million, or year-over-year growth falls below 9%.
Why it matters: Free cash flow rose 67% in Q2, while cash from operations fell. The next result will show if free cash flow growth lasts.
Supportive ifQ3 non-GAAP free cash flow is above $59.7 million, the Q2 result.
Worry ifQ3 non-GAAP free cash flow is at or below $59.7 million.
Why it matters: Net retention improved to 106%, and management linked growth to Enterprise Advanced. A further rise would back that claim.
Watch forThe next reported net retention rate is above 106%.
Also watch forThe next reported net retention rate is below 106%.
Why it matters: Cash from operations fell to $70.8 million in Q2, though free cash flow rose. A rebound would ease that mixed signal.
Supportive ifA later quarter reports net cash from operations above $70.8 million.
Worry ifA later quarter reports net cash from operations at or below $70.8 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$147 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $382 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,359 loss on $10,000 · 33.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.