BT BRANDS INC (BTBD)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.59-10.17%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BTBD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -5.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 6.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of —
BTBD — CFO transition
Dated 2026-06-01
Chief Financial Officer and Director — Kenneth Brimmer: Kenneth Brimmer resigned from his positions as a member of the Board of Directors and Chief Financial Officer without a named successor.
Why it matters: Management named cash flow as a priority. Positive cash from operations would support its plan to strengthen cash flow and keep balance sheet flexibility.
Supportive ifA quarterly filing shows positive cash from operations for two quarters in a row.
Worry ifA quarterly filing shows negative cash from operations for two quarters in a row.
Why it matters: BT Brands cut its 2025 operating loss by about 80%, but it still reported a loss. Positive operating income would show the gains continued.
Supportive ifA quarterly report shows operating income above zero. This does not count gains from asset sales.
Worry ifA quarterly report shows an operating loss, or the loss grows from the 2025 full-year loss of $364,585.
Why it matters: BT Brands ended the Aero Velocity deal and said it would keep exploring ways to add shareholder value. A new signed deal would show that plan has moved forward.
Supportive ifBT Brands announces a signed merger or strategic deal in an 8-K or company release.
Worry ifBT Brands reports no signed deal. It says it is still looking at opportunities.
Why it matters: BT Brands reported lower 2025 sales than in 2024. More sales declines could weaken the restaurant recovery.
Worry ifA full-year report shows sales below $13.49 million, the 2025 level.
Less concerning ifA full-year report shows sales at or above $13.49 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$227 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $713 loss on $10,000 · 7.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,378 loss on $10,000 · 53.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.