BrightView Holdings, Inc. (BV)
NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$11.78-1.67%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BV
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 3.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 0.6 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers
BV — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 4, 2026, BrightView Holdings, Inc (the "Company") issued a press release reporting its results of operations for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is being furnished with this report as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 furnished herewith, is being furnished to the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") pursuant to
Why it matters: Adjusted free cash flow was negative $37.2 million for nine months. The company now guides to $70 million to $80 million for the full year.
Worry ifFY2026 adjusted free cash flow is below $70 million, or the company cuts its $70 million to $80 million range.
Less concerning ifFY2026 adjusted free cash flow reaches at least $70 million, within the stated range.
Why it matters: BrightView cut its EBITDA range to $340 million to $345 million. Q3 EBITDA fell 15.1% as insurance and fuel costs rose.
Worry ifFY2026 adjusted EBITDA is below $340 million, or the company cuts its $340 million to $345 million range.
Less concerning ifFY2026 adjusted EBITDA is at least $340 million, within the stated range.
Why it matters: Land maintenance grew 2.3% in Q3, the second straight quarter of growth. A shortfall would weaken the core growth trend.
Worry ifFY2026 land maintenance revenue growth is below 2%, or the company cuts its 2% to 3% goal.
Less concerning ifFY2026 land maintenance revenue grows at least 2%, within the stated 2% to 3% range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$122 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $317 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,327 loss on $10,000 · 33.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.