Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. (BWB)
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
$21.85+1.44%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BWB
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $22 BWB trades at 1.1× p/b, below its 1.2× p/b peer median. Our $23 fair value sits above the price. It's a high-confidence read. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcff | 12M | $25.78 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $27.00 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $23.77 | 1.2 | 19.16 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $14.08 | 11.7 | 1.21 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $22.11 |
| 10.9 |
| 2.03 |
| ntm analyst |
| high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $32.01 | 3.2 | 10.13 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $48.08 | 28.4 | 1.69 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $19.14 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $21.14 | 12.5 | 1.69 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $20.89 | 11.9 | 1.75 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $31.83 | 1.2 | 25.67 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $14.52 | 11.7 | 1.24 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $13.06 | 10.9 | 1.20 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $12.04 | 3.2 | 3.81 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $34.10 | 28.4 | 1.20 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $14.99 | 12.5 | 1.20 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $38.68 | 1.2 | 31.18 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $14.82 | 11.7 | 1.27 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $6.80 | 10.9 | 0.62 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $6.28 | 3.2 | 1.99 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $17.77 | 28.4 | 0.62 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $7.81 | 12.5 | 0.62 | Analyst | high |