Blackstone Inc. (BX)
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-04
$136.15-1.11%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · BX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 32.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 23.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 35 industry peers
BX — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2025-11-03
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The information set forth above under
Why it matters: A rise above this level shows strong investment performance and aligns with management's growth goals.
Supportive ifNet performance revenues are above $7.5 billion in the next quarter.
Worry ifNet performance revenues drop below $6.5 billion. This shows weaker performance.
Why it matters: Growth above this level shows good cost control and revenue growth.
Supportive ifFRE per share reported above $1.50 in Q3 2026.
Worry ifFRE per share reported below $1.50 in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: This growth shows Blackstone's strategies are good at making money.
Supportive ifFRE per share growth reported above 20% year-over-year.
Worry ifFRE per share growth reported below 20% year-over-year.
Why it matters: High spending shows strong investment and confidence in the market.
Supportive ifCapital deployment was above $30 billion in Q3.
Worry ifCapital deployment was below $30 billion in Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$159 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $419 loss on $10,000 · 4.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,477 loss on $10,000 · 44.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Keeping this growth rate shows strong demand for Blackstone's investment plans.
Supportive ifTotal AUM growth was over 12% year-over-year.
Worry ifTotal AUM growth was below 12% year-over-year.
Why it matters: Keeping or growing Fee Related Earnings shows good performance and helps growth.
Supportive ifFee Related Earnings reported above $1.55 billion for Q2 2026.
Worry ifFee Related Earnings fall below $1.5 billion for Q2 2026.
Why it matters: A rise above this level would confirm strong investment performance and growth momentum.
Supportive ifRevenues are expected to exceed $7.5 billion in the next earnings report.
Worry ifNet accrued performance revenues fall below $6.5 billion in the next earnings release.
Why it matters: This would confirm strong investment performance and support the growth narrative for Blackstone.
Supportive ifIn Q3, revenues are more than $500 million.
Worry ifIn Q3, revenues are less than $500 million.
Why it matters: Growth in AUM is crucial for Blackstone's revenue and reflects investor confidence.
Supportive ifTotal AUM reported exceeds $1.35 trillion.
Worry ifTotal AUM reported is below $1.35 trillion.
Why it matters: Growth in Fee Related Earnings shows strong performance.
Supportive ifFee Related Earnings are over $1.8 billion.
Worry ifFee Related Earnings are below $1.8 billion.
Why it matters: Higher inflows signal strong investor demand and support growth in AUM.
Supportive ifInflows reported for Q3 exceed $70 billion.
Worry ifInflows reported for Q3 are below $70 billion.