Cable One (CABO)
NYSECommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$5.16-1.90%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CABO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -89.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 92.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 11 industry peers
CABO — CEO transition
Dated 2026-10-30
Director — Paul Keglevic: The filing discloses the addition of a new director to the board, which is a governance change rather than the departure of an executive.
Why it matters: McCallion took charge of sales, customer care, and field work in August. Better customer retention could slow subscriber losses.
Watch forA later earnings release reports fewer residential data subscriber losses than Q2. It also reports a smaller revenue drop than a year ago.
Also watch forA later earnings release reports more residential data subscriber losses. It also reports a revenue drop of 7.3% or more from a year ago.
Why it matters: Residential data revenue fell 5.1% in Q1 and 7.3% in Q2. A smaller drop would show the decline is easing.
Supportive ifQ3 residential data revenue is down less than 5% year over year, or grows.
Worry ifQ3 residential data revenue falls 7.3% or more year over year.
Why it matters: Cable One reported a large MBI investment loss and put option loss in Q2. Another delay would leave the deal timeline unclear.
Worry ifA new filing extends the MBI purchase closing date again or reports that the purchase did not close by the latest stated date.
Less concerning ifA filing confirms the MBI purchase has closed, with no further extension.
Why it matters: Adjusted EBITDA fell 9.6% in Q1 and 14.6% in Q2. A deeper drop would show the business is still weakening.
Worry ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA falls more than 14.6% year over year from the prior-year quarter.
Less concerning ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA falls less than 9.6% year over year, or grows.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$563 on $10,000 · ±5.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,387 loss on $10,000 · 13.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,688 loss on $10,000 · 96.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Operating cash flow fell to $120.9 million in Q2 from $144.9 million a year earlier. A lower result would add pressure as debt stays high.
Worry ifQ3 cash from operations is below $120.9 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 cash from operations is above $144.9 million. This matches or beats the same quarter last year.