CACI International (CACI)
NYSEIndustrialsInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$604.51-4.37%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CACI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 4.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 6.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CACI — President transition
Dated 2026-06-05
President, U.S. Operations — DeEtte Gray: Ms. DeEtte Gray is retiring from her role as President, U.S. Operations with an agreed transition period.
Why it matters: CACI is one of 15 NITE-STAR awardees. A funded task order would show whether this award brings paid work.
Supportive ifCACI discloses a funded NITE-STAR task order with a stated dollar value.
Worry ifCACI reports no funded NITE-STAR task order in its next two quarterly reports.
Why it matters: CACI raised its revenue range after a strong first quarter. Revenue above the new top end would show that growth is holding up.
Supportive ifFiscal 2027 revenue tops $10.9 billion.
Worry ifFiscal 2027 revenue falls below $10.7 billion, the low end of the current range.
Why it matters: Funded backlog rose 14.8% from a year earlier. Staying above 10% would support the growth outlook; a sharp drop could weaken it.
Watch forFunded backlog grows more than 10% year over year in the next reported quarter.
Also watch forFunded backlog grows less than 5% year over year or falls.
Why it matters: CACI kept its $900 million cash goal, but first-quarter free cash flow fell year over year. A miss would raise concern about working capital.
Worry ifFiscal 2027 free cash flow is below $900 million.
Less concerning ifFiscal 2027 free cash flow reaches or tops $900 million.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$144 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $318 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,344 loss on $10,000 · 33.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.