CAG
Conagra BrandsNYSEConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, CAG has a mixed analyst scoring with a composite score of 2.7 and a medium confidence level of 78.8. The score reflects various factors, including a favorable scenario of a potential guidance raise contributing 4.0 to the estimate, while unfavorable scenarios such as a guidance cut and sector trend weakening are contributing -8.0 and -5.0, respectively. The overall risk is labeled as moderate, with a valuation score of 85.7 indicating it is considered inexpensive. This analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share0.03
- Slope (norm)-0.04
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.47 → $0.46 (-2.7% / 30d). 2 raised, 10 cut, 16 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 1 downgrade / 30d, 2 maintained. 11% of analysts rate Buy.
3 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 2.4% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
5 material events in the last 24 months — top 5 listed below.
Stated priorities
Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.
Guidance track record
Last 5 quarters of EPS guidance with actuals.
Per-quarter detail
| Period | Guidance | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-05-31 | $2.03 – $2.08 | $0.36 | miss |
| 2020-08-31 | $0.54 – $0.59 | $0.70 | beat |
| 2021-02-28 | $0.56 – $0.60 | $0.59 | inside |
| 2021-05-31 | $0.49 – $0.55 | $0.54 | inside |
| 2021-11-30 | $0.70 – $0.74 | $0.64 | miss |
Beat / inside / miss is computed from the guided range when issued; for point-estimate quarters a ±5% tolerance band around the mid is used. surprise_pct_vs_mid is unstable when guided EPS is near zero, so it is not surfaced as a headline.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 29%; 252d 28%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −37%. Bad day move −3%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLP) — 1.36 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 54/100, drawdown 25/100, beta 64/100, earnings vol —.
via XLP
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
Met or beat guidance 50% of the last 2 guided quarters · -29.3% avg surprise
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
55 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
CAG Conagra Brands | +2.7 | inexpensive | moderate |
WMT Walmart | -9.3 | expensive | low |
COST Costco | +3.9 | expensive | moderate |
PG Procter & Gamble | +15 | fair | low |
KO Coca-Cola Company (The) | +14 | full | low |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If consumer_staples sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-04-13)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-04-13)-8.0 pts
- If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.2 pts
- If consumer_staples sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-04-1325d agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Appointment of John Brase as President and Chief Executive Officer, Effective June 1, 2026 On April 13, 2026, Conagra Brands Inc. (the “Company”) announced that the Company’s Board of Directors (the “Board”) has approved the appointment of John Brase to serve as the Company’s President and Chief Executive Officer, and his appointment as a direc…
executive changeneutralscore 44 - 2026-04-011mo agoItem 2.02
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to liabilities under that section and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any document filed under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, whether made before or after the date hereof, regardless of any general incorporation language in such fili…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 28 - 2026-02-182mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On February 18, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “ Board ”) of Conagra Brands, Inc. (the “ Company ”) approved, effective immediately, an increase in the size of the Board from 11 directors to 12 directors and appointed John Mulligan and Pietro Satriano as directors of the Company to fill the two vacancies on the Board and to serve until their s…
executive changeneutralscore 9 - 2025-12-194mo agoItem 2.02
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to liabilities under that section and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any document filed under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, whether made before or after the date hereof, regardless of any general incorporation language in such fili…
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 3 - 2025-10-067mo agoItem 5.02
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On October 2, 2025, the Board of Directors of Conagra Brands, Inc. (the “Company”) appointed Melissa Napier to serve as Senior Vice President, Corporate Controller (principal accounting officer) of the Company, reporting to our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, David Marberger, effective upon the previously announced departure o…
executive changeneutralscore 1
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.