Cboe Global Markets (CBOE)
BATSFinancialsFinancial - Data & Stock ExchangesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$353.07+2.28%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
BATSFinancialsFinancial - Data & Stock ExchangesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CBOE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 30.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| -37.9% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 68.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CBOE — credit agreement
Dated 2026-07-28
ENTRY INTO A MATERIAL DEFINITIVE AGREEMENT. Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement On July 24, 2026, Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (the “Company”), as borrower, entered into a Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (the “Revolving Credit Agreement”), which amended and restated the Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, dated as of February 25, 2022, with Bank of America, N.A., as administrative agent (in such capacity, the “Administrative Agent”) and as swing line lender, certain…
Why it matters: Cboe raised its 2026 growth target after strong results. Meeting it would confirm that revenue gains are holding.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 organic net revenue growth is reported in the high teens or above.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 organic net revenue growth is below the high-teens target.
Why it matters: Data Vantage posted record revenue, up 13% year over year. Meeting the higher target would confirm growth is continuing.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 Data Vantage organic revenue growth is reported in the mid teens or above.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 Data Vantage organic revenue growth is below the mid-teens goal.
Why it matters: Cboe has SEC approval to list and clear these contracts. A launch would mark progress in a new business area.
Supportive ifCboe lists and clears company-KPI event contracts in November, as planned.
Worry ifCboe delays the November launch or does not list and clear the contracts.
Why it matters: Options revenue grew, but share slipped in Q3. A further drop could point to weaker standing in Cboe's largest segment.
Worry ifCboe Options exchange market share falls below 30% in a reported quarter.
Less concerning ifCboe Options exchange market share stays at or above 30% and rises from the prior-year quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$171 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $321 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,687 loss on $10,000 · 36.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.