CBRE Group (CBRE)
NYSEReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$147.85-0.60%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CBRE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 3.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 14.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers
CBRE — debt issuance
Dated 2026-05-04
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On May 4, 2026, CBRE Services, Inc. (“Services”), a Delaware corporation and wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company, completed its previously announced offering of $750,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 5.250% Senior Notes due 2036 (the “Notes”). The Notes are guaranteed on a full and unconditional basis by the Company. The Notes are governed by an Indenture, dated as of March 14, 2013 (the “Base Indenture”), among Services, the Company, certain…
Why it matters: Changes in the net leverage ratio will show how well CBRE manages its debt. A lower ratio indicates better financial health.
Watch forNet leverage ratio drops below 1.5x after the $750 million debt issuance.
Also watch forNet leverage ratio increases above 1.6x after the debt issuance.
Why it matters: Slower revenue growth could indicate weakening demand in the real estate sector.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth reported below 15% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth reported above 15% year over year.
Why it matters: Maintaining or raising core EPS guidance shows strong earnings growth momentum. This supports investor confidence.
Supportive ifManagement raises core EPS guidance above $7.80 for Q3 2026.
Worry ifManagement lowers core EPS guidance below $7.60 for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Details on how the funds will be used could indicate strategic priorities and financial health.
Watch forThere is an announcement of specific projects funded by the new debt.
Also watch forNo clear plans or projects announced for the use of the $750 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$125 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $310 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,737 loss on $10,000 · 27.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Free cash flow trends indicate financial health and ability to invest. Strong cash flow supports ongoing growth initiatives.
Supportive ifFree cash flow exceeds $1.5 billion in Q2 2026.
Worry ifFree cash flow falls below $1.2 billion in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: A drop could mean money problems and impact capital plans.
Worry ifFree cash flow reported below $1.5 billion for the trailing 12 months.
Less concerning ifFree cash flow remains above $1.5 billion for the trailing 12 months.
Why it matters: Successful debt issuance can help with finances. It can also support growth plans.
Watch forPositive market reaction to the $750 million debt issuance and its effective use.
Also watch forNegative market reaction or not using the raised capital well.
Why it matters: A higher net leverage ratio may mean more financial risk and affect spending.
Worry ifNet leverage ratio exceeds 1.75x as of the next earnings report.
Less concerning ifNet leverage ratio remains below 1.60x as of the next earnings report.
Why it matters: New debt could show ongoing capital management and support for liquidity. It shows how the company handles its money.
Watch forManagement announces a new debt issuance of at least $500 million.
Also watch forNo new debt issuance is announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows growth in digital services. This is important for management.
Supportive ifCore EBITDA from digital services was more than $350 million.
Worry ifCore EBITDA from digital services was less than $350 million.
Why it matters: New debt issuance can signal confidence in capital allocation. It affects liquidity and growth plans.
Watch forManagement announces new debt issuance plans in Q3.
Also watch forManagement states no new debt issuance plans in Q3.
Why it matters: Strong growth in this area is key to meeting management's EBITDA targets for 2026.
Supportive ifRevenue from key infrastructure services grows over 50% each year.
Worry ifRevenue growth in key infrastructure services is below 30% each year.