Crown Castle (CCI)
NYSEReal EstateReit - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$75.83-1.85%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CCI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -8.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -1.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 6.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers
CCI — COO transition
Dated 2026-05-01
Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer—Fiber — Christopher D. Levendos: Resigned to pursue an opportunity with Zayo.
Why it matters: Paying off a lot of debt can improve the balance sheet and lower costs.
Supportive ifThey announced debt repayments over $7 billion from the sale proceeds.
Worry ifNo big debt repayment news in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Getting this facility would give more money options. It would also help future growth.
Supportive ifCrown Castle set up a new $4.5 billion credit facility.
Worry ifNo announcement of the new credit facility by the next earnings call.
Why it matters: Completing the share buyback would show strong capital allocation and support share value.
Supportive ifCrown Castle finished the $1 billion share buyback program.
Worry ifNo announcement of share repurchase completion by the next earnings call.
Why it matters: These terminations could hurt rental income growth a lot.
Worry ifTotal impact from DISH and Sprint terminations is less than $240 million for the year.
Less concerning ifThe impact is over $240 million. This shows bigger problems with revenue stability.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$103 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $328 loss on $10,000 · 3.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,375 loss on $10,000 · 23.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Share repurchases can boost earnings per share, which is important for shareholder value.
Supportive ifEarnings per share go up a lot because of the $1 billion share buyback.
Worry ifEarnings per share fails to increase or declines despite the share repurchase.
Why it matters: Cutting debt by $7 billion can lower interest costs. This can boost cash flow.
Supportive ifInterest expense decreases by more than $120 million as a result of debt repayment.
Worry ifInterest costs stay the same or go up even after paying off debt.
Why it matters: Raising AFFO guidance means better cash flow and efficiency. This could make investors happier.
Supportive ifManagement raises AFFO guidance to more than $2,000 million for 2026.
Worry ifAFFO guidance remains at or below $1,950 million.
Why it matters: Cutting debt helps the balance sheet. It also gives more financial options.
Supportive ifCrown Castle shows debt reduction over $7 billion after selling fiber.
Worry ifDebt reduction reported is less than $7 billion after the fiber sale.
Why it matters: Updates on stock buybacks show how much management trusts the company's value.
Supportive ifThey announced stock buybacks of at least $500 million.
Worry ifNo news about stock buybacks in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Lowering debt helps keep finances stable. It also builds trust with investors.
Supportive ifManagement confirms they have paid back over $7 billion in debt as planned.
Worry ifManagement says there are delays or issues with paying back the debt.
Why it matters: A decline greater than 5% would signal ongoing pressure on rental income and growth.
Worry ifQ3 site rental revenues down year over year worse than -5%.
Less concerning ifSite rental revenues stabilize or grow year over year.
Why it matters: AFFO growth over 5% shows good performance and smart cost control.
Supportive ifQ3 AFFO growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Worry ifAFFO growth is less than or equal to 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Updates on cost cuts will show progress toward the $65 million goal and affect profits.
Watch forManagement says they will save $65 million each year on operating costs.
Also watch forManagement says they saved less than $55 million on operating costs.