CareCloud Inc (CCLD)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Healthcare Information ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$2.23-0.45%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Healthcare Information ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CCLD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -36.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 44.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CCLD — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-06
of this Form 8-K shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Why it matters: Reaffirming revenue guidance shows confidence in meeting growth targets. It impacts investor trust.
Supportive ifManagement reaffirms revenue guidance of $128M to $132M during the earnings call.
Worry ifManagement lowered revenue guidance to below $128M. This may mean problems ahead.
Why it matters: A successful redemption makes the capital structure simpler. It may boost investor trust.
Supportive ifRedemption of Series B Preferred Stock was completed on May 15, 2026.
Worry ifRedemption of Series B Preferred Stock is delayed or not completed.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership can affect strategy and performance. This may change investor confidence.
Watch forAppointment of a new executive with a strong track record in healthcare.
Also watch forMore key executives might leave. There are no clear replacements.
Why it matters: This signals if CareCloud is on track to meet its full-year EBITDA target.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q3 is under $14.5 million.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA for Q3 is reported at or above $14.5 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$211 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $595 loss on $10,000 · 6.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,541 loss on $10,000 · 45.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Meeting EPS guidance would show strong progress toward the goal of 100-130% growth.
Supportive ifQ3 GAAP EPS reported at or above $0.20.
Worry ifQ3 GAAP EPS reported below $0.20.
Why it matters: Better GAAP net income shows stronger financial health and efficiency. It shows the effects of integration and cost control.
Supportive ifGAAP net income reported above $922,000 for Q2 2026.
Worry ifGAAP net income reported below $922,000 for Q2 2026.
Why it matters: If CareCloud meets its revenue goals, it shows strong growth in its business.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at or above $128 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $128 million.
Why it matters: Increased adoption of AI products can drive revenue growth and improve margins.
Supportive ifAt least 30% of current clients use new AI-enabled products.
Worry ifLess than 30% of current clients use new AI-enabled products.
Why it matters: EPS in this range shows management's faith in making money and growth.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 GAAP EPS reported within the range of $0.20–$0.23.
Worry ifQ2 2026 GAAP EPS falls below $0.20.
Why it matters: Achieving this EPS growth shows strong profitability. It can improve market perception.
Supportive ifEPS growth reported at 100% or more in Q3 2026.
Worry ifEPS growth reported below 100% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Changes in credit agreement terms may affect money use and growth plans.
Watch forPositive updates on the credit agreement that improve terms or reduce costs.
Also watch forNegative updates on the credit agreement that increase costs or tighten terms.
Why it matters: The redemption may affect liquidity and investor confidence. It is a key financial event.
Worry ifThe market reacted well. There was more money available after the redemption.
Less concerning ifThe market reacted poorly. There were money problems after the redemption.
Why it matters: Revenue growth below 13% may show weak demand or problems after the acquisition.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue growth was below 13% compared to last year.
Less concerning ifQ2 2026 revenue growth meets or exceeds 13% year-over-year.
Why it matters: Revenue growth below 16% would signal a slowdown in CareCloud's growth momentum.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth reported below 16% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth reported at or above 16% year over year.
Why it matters: If it falls below $29 million, it shows problems in making profits.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA was below $29 million for the full year 2026.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA reported at or above $29 million for the full year 2026.
Why it matters: Reaffirming EPS guidance shows confidence in reaching growth goals.
Supportive ifManagement reaffirms EPS guidance of $0.20 to $0.23 for 2026.
Worry ifManagement revises EPS guidance down from $0.20 to $0.23 for 2026.