Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE)
NYSEMaterialsGoldSnapshot 2026-09-04
$21.24-1.89%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsGoldSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CDE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -4.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 60.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 65.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CDE — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 5, 2026, Coeur Mining, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 and production, cost and expense guidance for 2026. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The press release shall be deemed furnished, not filed, for purposes of this Current Report on Form 8-K.
Why it matters: Changes to production guidance show how well the company is doing. This affects investor trust.
Watch forManagement raises the gold production guidance for the year to over 700,000 ounces.
Also watch forManagement lowers the gold production guidance for the year to below 680,000 ounces.
Why it matters: Stable gold prices would help revenue growth and overall financial health.
Supportive ifAverage realized gold prices reported above $4,000 per ounce in Q3 2026.
Worry ifAverage realized gold prices fall below $3,800 per ounce in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Updates on the share buyback program show management's plan. They want to return money to shareholders.
Supportive ifManagement announces more share buybacks. This is in addition to the $121 million already completed.
Worry ifNo new share buybacks are announced, which may change how capital is used.
Why it matters: Updates on the dividend show financial strength. They also show care for shareholders.
Supportive ifCoeur Mining announces an increase in the dividend per share from $0.02.
Worry ifCoeur Mining cuts or suspends the $0.02 dividend per share.
Why it matters: Progress on the share buyback shows commitment to returning value to shareholders. It can boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifCoeur Mining announces more buybacks under the $750 million program.
Worry ifNo new updates or buybacks are reported for the share buyback program.
Why it matters: Higher capital spending can show growth plans and expansion. It may affect future revenue.
Supportive ifCapital spending is above the $337 million limit set in guidance.
Worry ifCapital spending is below the $291 million limit set in guidance.
Why it matters: Updates will indicate if the company is investing enough in growth and maintenance. This affects long-term performance.
Watch forCapital spending is over $337 million for 2026. This shows strong investment.
Also watch forCapital spending is below $291 million. This shows less investment.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if the company can recover from the recent earnings miss. Investors will look for signs of improvement.
Watch forQ2 earnings per share is above $0.02. This shows a recovery from the last miss.
Also watch forQ2 earnings per share falls below $0.02, confirming ongoing struggles.
Why it matters: The dividend shows Coeur's promise to give money back to shareholders. It shows they are financially healthy.
Supportive ifThe dividend is paid on time. This shows the company's financial strength.
Worry ifIf the dividend is late or canceled, it may mean financial problems.
Why it matters: Stable or rising metal prices will help revenue and profits in the second half of 2026.
Watch forAverage gold and silver prices rise from one quarter to the next.
Also watch forAverage gold and silver prices keep falling from one quarter to the next.
Why it matters: The earnings report will provide insights into Coeur Mining's performance and market conditions. It is a key event for investors.
Watch forThe earnings report shows a big rise in revenue or profit from last year.
Also watch forEarnings report shows a decline in revenue or profit compared to last year.
Why it matters: High cash flow shows strong operations and helps with returning capital.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations was over $500 million for Q3 2026.
Worry ifCash flow from operating activities falls below $400 million for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Positive growth could mean recovery in the sector. This would help Coeur Mining.
Supportive ifMaterials sector reports positive revenue growth for the first time in over a year.
Worry ifThe materials sector is still seeing lower revenue. This trend continues for another quarter.
Why it matters: Updates will show how well Coeur is integrating its new acquisitions. Strong guidance would signal effective ramp-up.
Supportive ifManagement raises production goals for New Afton and Rainy River. These goals are now higher than before.
Worry ifManagement lowers production goals for New Afton and Rainy River. These goals are now lower than before.
Why it matters: A strong cash position supports ongoing investments and capital returns. It shows financial health.
Supportive ifCash balance reported at or above $2 billion by year-end 2026.
Worry ifCash balance reported below $1.5 billion by year-end 2026.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$297 on $10,000 · ±3.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $779 loss on $10,000 · 7.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,779 loss on $10,000 · 47.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.