Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE)
NYSEMaterialsGoldSnapshot 2026-11-04
$14.63+0.34%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsGoldSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CDE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -34.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 73.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 108.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CDE — earnings in line
Dated 2026-11-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 4, 2026, Coeur Mining, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The press release shall be deemed furnished, not filed, for purposes of this Current Report on Form 8-K.
Why it matters: Q2 adjusted gold costs included an $834-per-ounce non-cash charge tied to Rainy River inventory. The next report can show how costs look without that charge.
Watch forQ3 adjusted gold costs fall below Q2's $2,442 per ounce as the one-time inventory charge fades.
Also watch forQ3 adjusted gold costs remain at or above $2,442 per ounce after the inventory charge fades.
Why it matters: Coeur tied its capital returns and cash build to strong cash flow. Q2 free cash flow was $388 million, and management gave a $1.5 billion full-year goal.
Watch forQ3 free cash flow keeps the company on pace for the stated $1.5 billion full-year goal.
Also watch forQ3 free cash flow falls short of that pace, or Coeur lowers its $1.5 billion goal.
Why it matters: Coeur set 2026 output ranges of 680,000–815,000 ounces of gold and 18.7–21.9 million ounces of silver. Q3 output will show if those ranges remain in reach.
Watch forQ3 results keep gold and silver production on pace for the stated 2026 guidance ranges.
Also watch forQ3 results or a new release lower the 2026 gold or silver production range.
Why it matters: Q2 output rose as both mines had their first full quarter. But Coeur cut their 2026 ramp-up plans. Q3 results will test whether the new pace is holding.
Watch forQ3 reports show New Afton and Rainy River production in line with their updated 2026 plans, with no further ramp-up cuts.
Also watch forQ3 reports show either mine below its updated plan, or Coeur cuts either mine's 2026 guidance again.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$262 on $10,000 · ±2.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $729 loss on $10,000 · 7.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,169 loss on $10,000 · 51.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.