Cadre Holdings, Inc. (CDRE)
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
$32.27+4.64%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAerospace & DefenseSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CDRE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -7.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 15.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 22.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 23 industry peers
CDRE — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-07
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 5, 2026, Cadre Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of this press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. Attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2 and incorporated herein by reference is a presentation regarding the Company’s financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. The press release and prese…
Why it matters: Net debt reached $320.3M by June 30, up $136.0M since year-end. Another rise would add pressure as Cadre grows through deals.
Worry ifQ3 results show net debt above $320.3M, with cash below $54.0M.
Less concerning ifQ3 results show net debt at or below $320.3M, with cash at or above $54.0M.
Why it matters: Cadre raised its sales outlook after strong Q2 results and a record backlog. Q3 results test whether that growth continues.
Supportive ifOn November 4, Q3 results keep full-year sales guidance at $749M–$769M or raise it.
Worry ifOn November 4, Cadre cuts full-year sales guidance below $749M or reports weaker sales growth.
Why it matters: The backlog set a record for the second straight time. But delays or cancellations could stop orders from becoming revenue.
Watch forQ3 results show sales growth and a backlog near or above the Q2 record of $368M.
Also watch forQ3 results show backlog below $368M and slower sales growth. Or management reports delays or cancellations in orders.
Why it matters: Q2 adjusted EBITDA rose, and Cadre raised its full-year target. A lower outlook would weaken that progress.
Supportive ifOn November 4, Cadre keeps full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance at $139M–$144M or raises it.
Worry ifOn November 4, Cadre cuts its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance below $139M. Or Q3 results fall short of what it needs to meet that guidance.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$146 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $454 loss on $10,000 · 4.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,653 loss on $10,000 · 46.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.