Central Garden & Pet Company (CENT)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$47.94-0.91%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CENT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -27.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -0.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 27.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers
CENT — credit agreement
Dated 2025-11-12
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On November 7, 2025, Central Garden & Pet Company (the “Company”) entered into a Fourth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with the Company, as borrower, certain of the Company’s domestic and Canadian subsidiaries, as guarantors, a syndicate of financial institutions party thereto (each a “Lender” and together, the “Lenders”), Truist Bank (“Truist”), as issuing bank and administrative agent (in such capacity the “Administrative Agent”), and Truis…
Why it matters: Garden sales rose 3%, led by Wild Bird, Fertilizer and Controls, and Grass Seeds. Another gain would show those lines remain strong.
Supportive ifIn the next reported quarter, Garden sales rise year over year.
Worry ifIn the next reported quarter, Garden sales fall year over year.
Why it matters: Pet sales fell 19% after the distribution exit, but organic sales rose 2%. Further organic growth would show demand is holding up.
Supportive ifIn the next reported quarter, organic Pet sales rise year over year.
Worry ifIn the next reported quarter, organic Pet sales fall year over year.
Why it matters: The deal would give Central a larger European pet business. A delay or failed close would push back that growth plan.
Watch forCentral completes its purchase of an 80% interest in TRIXIE by the end of fiscal 2027's first half.
Also watch forCentral reports that the deal is delayed past fiscal 2027's first half, or will not close.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$93 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $211 loss on $10,000 · 2.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,644 loss on $10,000 · 16.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.