Central Garden & Pet Company (CENT)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$41.71+0.02%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CENT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -39.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -8.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 31.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 28 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CENT — credit agreement
Dated 2025-11-12
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On November 7, 2025, Central Garden & Pet Company (the “Company”) entered into a Fourth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with the Company, as borrower, certain of the Company’s domestic and Canadian subsidiaries, as guarantors, a syndicate of financial institutions party thereto (each a “Lender” and together, the “Lenders”), Truist Bank (“Truist”), as issuing bank and administrative agent (in such capacity the “Administrative Agent”), and Truis…
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it signals a shift in the maturing phase of the sector. This could improve investor confidence in Central Garden & Pet.
Supportive ifRevenue growth in the Consumer Staples sector increases back toward 6% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains below 4% year over year.
Why it matters: Better margins may show stronger pricing power and improved cost control in the sector.
Supportive ifSector margins improve year over year by more than 1%.
Worry ifSector margins decline year over year by more than 1%.
Why it matters: Meeting this EPS target shows better margins and growth. It shows financial health and good management.
Supportive ifFiscal 2026 non-GAAP diluted EPS reported at or above $2.85.
Worry ifNon-GAAP diluted EPS is below $2.70.
Why it matters: Higher margins mean better cost control and profits. This can boost investor trust in the company.
Supportive ifOperating margin is over 14.5% in the next quarters.
Worry ifThe operating margin will drop below 14.1% in future reports.
Why it matters: Closing the TRIXIE deal would boost Central's presence in the European pet market. This could drive future growth and sales.
Supportive ifThe acquisition of TRIXIE closes on time in the first half of fiscal 2027.
Worry ifThe acquisition faces delays or fails to close as planned.
Why it matters: This signals a potential shift in growth for Central Garden & Pet. It could show the company is overcoming its recent momentum drop.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth stays below 2% year over year.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a positive shift in the sector's maturity phase.
Supportive ifRevenue growth is over 5% year over year. This shows a strong recovery.
Worry ifRevenue growth is under 2% year over year. This shows ongoing weakness.
Why it matters: Organic sales growth over 2% shows strong demand and good execution.
Supportive ifQ3 organic sales growth reported above 2% year over year.
Worry ifOrganic sales growth reported below 2% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$100 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $262 loss on $10,000 · 2.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,299 loss on $10,000 · 23.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.