Central Garden & Pet Company (Class A) (CENTA)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$36.07+0.03%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CENTA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -46.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -8.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 38.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 28 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CENTA — CEO transition
Dated 2026-02-18
Director — Kay M. Schwichtenberg: Appointment of Kay M. Schwichtenberg to the Board of Directors.
Why it matters: Staying within the $50M to $60M range shows good spending and helps growth.
Watch forCapital spending is between $50 million and $60 million.
Also watch forCapital spending over $60 million or under $50 million is a concern.
Why it matters: Confirming EPS guidance of $2.70 or better shows ongoing financial health. It signals strong execution and growth potential.
Supportive ifFiscal 2026 non-GAAP diluted EPS reported at $2.70 or better.
Worry ifFiscal 2026 non-GAAP diluted EPS falls below $2.70.
Why it matters: This partnership may improve distribution and help growth in the pet area.
Watch forGood news on sales growth or efficiency from the partnership.
Also watch forBad news on sales or problems reported from the partnership.
Why it matters: Growth in net sales shows strong demand and good execution. It shows Central's strategies are working.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 net sales reported above $906 million.
Worry ifQ2 2026 net sales reported below $906 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$88 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $225 loss on $10,000 · 2.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,307 loss on $10,000 · 23.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Ongoing share repurchases can boost earnings per share. This shows the company is confident in its financial position.
Supportive ifThe company buys back shares often. It has $128 million left for buybacks.
Worry ifShare buybacks stop or drop a lot.
Why it matters: Updates on the share buyback show management's trust in the company's value.
Supportive ifMore shares were bought back under the $127 million plan.
Worry ifNo updates or a pause in the share repurchase program.
Why it matters: Closing the TRIXIE deal expands Central's presence in Europe. It could drive growth in the pet supplies market.
Supportive ifAcquisition of TRIXIE completes in the first half of fiscal 2027.
Worry ifThe deal might not close. This could be due to regulatory issues or other delays.