Churchill Downs Inc. (CHDN)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-09-04
$87.07-3.56%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CHDN
Next print, the company's guidance track record, and the earnings events we've seen in the last few years.
Likelihood the company beats analyst consensus on its next print. Read from its own beat history plus how sector peers have been reporting. Not a price-direction call: a serial beater often has the beat already priced in.
Prints it beat consensus, recent quarters.
Indicative, not a guarantee. Base rate ~71%.
Industry peers that beat since this name last reported.
Management's most recent EPS guidance action.
expected = 0.35*own_median(5.0) + peer(0.2*16.7) + term(0.0) → 5.09% (capped ±15.0)
Calibrated likelihood the company misses analyst consensus on its next print, read from its own miss history plus its industry base rate. A fundamental tilt, not a price call — and a quiet watch-flag, not an alarm.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and its industry peers have been missing lately. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Calibrated. Base rate ~24%.
Consecutive quarters it missed, most recent run.
How often this industry misses, baseline.
Industry peers that missed in the recent window.
in 52 days
Average absolute move on past earnings days.
Annualized: recent baseline volatility.
Of the last 0 guided quarters.
Actual vs. guided EPS, signed.
Excess return vs. sector ETF, day after print.
Earnings prints and pre-announcements detected in the SEC filing stream.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. A copy of the news release issued by Churchill Downs Incorporated (the "Company") on July 29, 2026 announcing the results of operations and financial condition for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2026 is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. The information provided pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the…
Quarterly EPS and revenue actuals vs. consensus across the last eight quarters (including beat/miss size and the forward consensus heading into the next print) are on the way.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. A copy of the news release issued by Churchill Downs Incorporated (the "Company") on April 22, 2026 announcing the results of operations and financial condition for the three months ended March 31, 2026 is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. The information provided pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities E…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. A copy of the news release issued by Churchill Downs Incorporated (the "Company") on February 25, 2026 announcing the results of operations and financial condition for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025 is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. The information provided pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. A copy of the news release issued by Churchill Downs Incorporated (the "Company") on October 22, 2025 announcing the results of operations and financial condition for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025 is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. The information provided pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of t…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. A copy of the news release issued by Churchill Downs Incorporated (the "Company") on July 23, 2025 announcing the results of operations and financial condition for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025 is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. The information provided pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securi…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. A copy of the news release issued by Churchill Downs Incorporated (the "Company") on April 23, 2025 announcing the results of operations and financial condition for the three months ended March 31, 2025 is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. The information provided pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities E…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. A copy of the news release issued by Churchill Downs Incorporated (the "Company") on February 19, 2025 announcing the results of operations and financial condition for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2024 is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. The information provided pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. A copy of the news release issued by Churchill Downs Incorporated (the "Company") on October 23, 2024 announcing the results of operations and financial condition for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2024 is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. The information provided pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of t…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. A copy of the news release issued by Churchill Downs Incorporated (the "Company") on July 24, 2024 announcing the results of operations and financial condition for the three and six months ended June 30, 2024 is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. The information provided pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securi…
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. A copy of the news release issued by Churchill Downs Incorporated (the "Company") on April 24, 2024 announcing the results of operations and financial condition for the three months ended March 31, 2024 is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein. The information provided pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities E…