Chegg Inc (CHGG)
NYSEConsumer StaplesEducation & Training ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.60-6.46%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesEducation & Training ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CHGG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -82.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -38.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 43.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CHGG — officer change
Dated 2026-11-03
Director — Marcela Martin: A director resignation is a departure from the board, but it is typically low materiality and neutral in direction unless accompanied by disputes or high-level executive turnover.
Why it matters: Chegg’s Q2 revenue fell 51% year over year. Q3 results test whether the decline is easing.
Watch forQ3 total revenue is above $44 million.
Also watch forQ3 total revenue is below $43 million.
Why it matters: Chegg plans to roll out job search and coaching tools. Student use can show if this new offer draws interest.
Supportive ifChegg launches the service on Chegg or Internships.com and reports user or application data.
Worry ifThe Q3 launch slips, or Chegg reports no user or application data in its next update.
Why it matters: Chegg paid its remaining $33.9 million of notes in September. Cash flow will show how well it funds its plans debt-free.
Watch forChegg reports positive Q3 free cash flow and cash and investments above $38 million.
Also watch forChegg reports negative Q3 free cash flow or cash and investments below $38 million.
Why it matters: Management aims for double-digit Skilling growth in 2026. Growth slowed to 2% in Q2.
Supportive ifQ3 Skilling revenue grows at least 10% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 Skilling revenue is flat or falls year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$268 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $899 loss on $10,000 · 9.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,281 loss on $10,000 · 62.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Gross margin fell from 60% in Q1 to 55% in Q2. A further fall would add pressure as revenue shrinks.
Worry ifQ3 gross margin is below 48%.
Less concerning ifQ3 gross margin is at least 49%.