Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corp (CHMI)
NYSEReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.44-5.79%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CHMI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -48.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -24.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 23.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 20 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CHMI — earnings in line
Dated 2026-10-29
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 29, 2026, Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation (the “Company”) reported its results of operations for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the exhibit attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise…
Why it matters: Q3 EAD was $0.14 per share, while the common dividend was $0.10. A further drop would narrow that gap.
Worry ifQ4 EAD for common stockholders is below $0.10 per diluted share.
Less concerning ifQ4 EAD attributable to common stockholders is at least $0.10 per diluted share.
Why it matters: Both stockholder groups must approve the deal. A failed vote could stop the planned merger.
Supportive ifCHMI and MITT disclose that both stockholder groups approved the merger.
Worry ifEither company reports that its stockholders voted no on the merger.
Why it matters: Book value fell from $3.16 in Q2 to $2.73 in Q3. The merger exchange includes MITT shares, so book value trends remain useful to track.
Worry ifThe next reported common book value is below $2.73 per share.
Less concerning ifThe next reported common book value is at least $2.73 per share.
Why it matters: CHMI declared $0.10 per share in each of the last three quarters. EAD per share fell from $0.15 to $0.14 in Q3.
Worry ifCHMI declares a common dividend below $0.10 per share, or skips a quarterly payment.
Less concerning ifCHMI declares at least $0.10 per share for the next quarter.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$77 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $290 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,801 loss on $10,000 · 18.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.