Chimera Investment Corp. (CIM)
NYSEReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-09-04
$11.64+0.61%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CIM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -36.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -54.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 18.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and its industry peers have been missing lately. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 33 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CIM — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 5, 2026, the registrant issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. On August 5, 2026, the registrant posted investor presentation information on the News & Events - Press Releases section of its website (www.chimerareit.com). A copy of the investor presentation information is furnished as Exhibit 99.2 to this report…
Why it matters: The dividend shows that the company earns well. It also shows good money management.
Supportive ifDividend remains at $0.45 per share for Q3 2026.
Worry ifDividend drops below $0.45 per share. This shows financial trouble.
Why it matters: Earnings for distribution back the dividend. They also show the company is doing well.
Supportive ifEarnings for distribution are over $39 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifEarnings for distribution drop below $30 million in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend builds trust with investors. It shows the company is financially stable.
Supportive ifThe Board declares the Q3 dividend at $0.45 per share, consistent with prior quarters.
Worry ifThe Board reduces the Q3 dividend below $0.45 per share.
Why it matters: Interest rate changes can impact Chimera's asset values. This affects its financial health.
Worry ifBook value per common share declines more than 5% due to interest rate changes.
Less concerning ifBook value per common share remains stable or increases.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$75 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $225 loss on $10,000 · 2.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,900 loss on $10,000 · 19.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Faster revenue growth may show a recovery in real estate. This would help Chimera.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth speeds up to 5% or more.
Worry ifSector revenue growth slows down to below 3%.
Why it matters: A positive net income shows better financial performance and health.
Supportive ifNet income for Q3 turns positive compared to previous quarters.
Worry ifNet income for Q3 remains negative.
Why it matters: Keeping the $0.45 dividend shows financial health and care for shareholders.
Supportive ifThe company will pay a $0.45 dividend for Q2 2026, as expected.
Worry ifThe company cuts the dividend below $0.45. This may show financial trouble.
Why it matters: Earnings over $0.45 help keep the dividend going. This shows the company makes money.
Supportive ifEarnings over $0.45 per share were reported in Q3.
Worry ifEarnings below $0.45 per share were reported in Q3.