Chimera Investment Corp. (CIM)
NYSEReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-11-04
$8.68+4.70%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CIM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -46.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -47.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and real (inflation-adjusted) rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 1.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and its industry peers have been missing lately. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CIM — dividend update
Dated 2026-09-17
Regulation FD Disclosure. On September 17, 2026, the registrant issued a press release announcing the declaration of its third quarter cash dividend of $0.45 per share of common stock. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. A copy of the press release is being furnished pursuant to Item 7.01, and the information contained therein shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”),…
Why it matters: Q2 book value was $17.75 per share, and economic return was negative 0.76%. Chimera said rate and spread moves hurt book value.
Worry ifQ3 book value per common share falls below $17.75.
Less concerning ifQ3 book value per common share is at least $17.75.
Why it matters: Chimera had $301 million in HomeXpress loans at quarter end. It was preparing its first deal backed by these loans. A completed deal would link its two business lines.
Supportive ifChimera reports that it closed its first deal backed by HomeXpress loans.
Worry ifChimera reports no closing, or says the planned HomeXpress loan deal is delayed or canceled.
Why it matters: The Board kept the dividend at $0.45 for each quarter of 2026. A cut would break that record and put income plans at risk.
Watch forThe Board declares a common dividend of $0.45 per share for Q4 2026.
Also watch forThe Board declares a Q4 2026 common dividend below $0.45 per share, or no dividend.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$101 on $10,000 · ±1.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $269 loss on $10,000 · 2.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,179 loss on $10,000 · 41.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.