CompX International, Inc. (CIX)
AMEXIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$35.00-2.59%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CIX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -19.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 23.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CIX — dividend update
Dated 2026-08-04
Regulation FD Disclosure The registrant hereby furnishes the information set forth in its press release entitled “CompX Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend ” that the registrant also issued on August 4, 2026, a copy of which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2 and incorporated herein by reference. The press release the registrant furnishes as Exhibit 99.2 to this current report is not “filed” for purposes of section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subjec…
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows financial health. It also shows a promise to give value to shareholders.
Watch forThe company announces a $0.30 dividend in Q3. This shows it cares about shareholders.
Also watch forThe company cuts or skips the dividend in Q3. This raises worries about financial health.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it could signal a recovery for CompX and its peers. This would be a positive sign for the overall health of the industrial sector.
Supportive ifThree-year revenue growth in the industrial sector exceeds 7%.
Worry ifThree-year revenue growth remains at or below 5%.
Why it matters: Better growth signals in the sector could help CompX's sales. The industrial sector is growing.
Watch forSector revenue growth speeds up to over 7% each year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth slows below 3% year over year.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if revenue growth continues and if margins improve. This is key to understanding the company's performance.
Watch forNet sales for Q2 2026 are over $40.6 million. This shows revenue is growing.
Also watch forNet sales fall below $40.6 million, suggesting a slowdown in growth.
Why it matters: Strong sales growth would confirm management's priority to increase revenue. It shows demand for Security Products and Marine Components is strong.
Supportive ifQ3 net sales were over $43.6 million. This is more than 8% growth from last year.
Worry ifQ3 net sales growth reported below 8% year over year.
Why it matters: If growth exceeds this rate, it shows management wants to boost revenue. This means strong demand for Security Products and Marine Components.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 5% compared to Q3 2025.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is 5% or lower compared to Q3 2025.
Why it matters: Keeping this level shows good cost management. It helps improve operating income.
Supportive ifOperating income in Q3 stays above $8 million.
Worry ifOperating income in Q3 falls below $8 million.
Why it matters: If the margin goes up, it shows good cost management and better product mix. This is very important.
Supportive ifGross profit margins exceed 35% in Q3.
Worry ifGross profit margins fall below 35% in Q3.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows strong cash flow. It also shows a commitment to giving value back to shareholders.
Supportive ifQuarterly dividend remains at $0.30 per share.
Worry ifQuarterly dividend is cut below $0.30 per share.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$180 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $334 loss on $10,000 · 3.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,882 loss on $10,000 · 18.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.