CompX International, Inc. (CIX)
AMEXIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$36.62-1.27%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
AMEXIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CIX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 10.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CIX — dividend update
Dated 2026-11-04
Regulation FD Disclosure. The registrant hereby furnishes the information set forth in its press release entitled “CompX Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend” that the registrant also issued on November 4, 2026, a copy of which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2 and incorporated herein by reference. The press release the registrant furnishes as Exhibit 99.2 to this current report is not deemed “filed” for purposes of section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwi…
Why it matters: Q2 sales rose 8% year over year, led by Security Products and Marine Components. Another gain would show that growth is holding.
Supportive ifThe Nov. 4 report shows Q3 net sales above $43.5 million, up more than 8% from $40.3 million a year ago.
Worry ifThe Nov. 4 report shows Q3 net sales at or below $40.3 million, flat or lower year over year.
Why it matters: CompX declared a $0.30 dividend in August. A new declaration would keep its recent payment level in place.
Watch forA company release says it will pay another quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share.
Also watch forA company release cuts the dividend below $0.30 per share. Or it says no quarterly dividend was declared.
Why it matters: Q2 operating income rose from $6.3 million to $8.9 million. A drop below last year's level would break that recent gain.
Worry ifThe Nov. 4 report shows Q3 operating income below $6.3 million, the level from Q3 2025.
Less concerning ifThe Nov. 4 report shows Q3 operating income at or above $8.9 million, matching or topping Q2 2026.
Why it matters: The industrial sector has a headwind and slowing growth. CompX sales growth could show whether its recent gains continue despite that backdrop.
Watch forThe Nov. 4 report shows Q3 sales above $40.3 million, with higher Security Products or Marine Components sales.
Also watch forThe Nov. 4 report shows Q3 sales below $40.3 million, with lower sales in either segment.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$194 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $400 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,261 loss on $10,000 · 12.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q2 gross margin was about 36% of sales. A sharp drop could erase some of the gains from better sales and product mix.
Worry ifThe Nov. 4 report shows gross margin below 35% of sales, or below about $14.1 million on $40.3 million of sales.
Less concerning ifThe Nov. 4 report shows gross margin at or above 36% of sales.