COLUMBUS MCKINNON CORPORATION (CMCO)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
$16.53-11.08%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CMCO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -59.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 16.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 76.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 46 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CMCO — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-26
OTHER EVENTS. The Company announced that its Board of Directors declared and approved on October 26, 2026 a dividend of $0.07 per common share. The dividend will be payable on or about November 16, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on November 6, 2026. A copy of the press release issued in connection with such action is attached to this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein.
Why it matters: Management linked integration progress to cost savings and debt paydown. A clear update would show if the deal benefits are on track.
Supportive ifManagement reports a yearly synergy run rate of at least $70 million.
Worry ifManagement reports a synergy run rate below $70 million or delays the goal.
Why it matters: Q1 orders were $568.1 million, above sales of $531.5 million. A book-to-bill above 1.0 would support the H2 sales outlook.
Supportive ifIn the November 3 earnings release, Q2 orders top sales, and book-to-bill stays above 1.0.
Worry ifQ2 orders fall below sales and book-to-bill drops under 1.0.
Why it matters: Q1 Legacy CMCO sales grew 12.7% from price and volume. This helps show growth beyond the Kito Crosby deal.
Supportive ifThe November 3 report shows Legacy CMCO sales growth above 0% year over year.
Worry ifThe November 3 report shows Legacy CMCO sales below the level from a year earlier.
Why it matters: The September loan repricing cut the rate margin by 0.50 points. Lower cash interest could help CMCO pay down debt.
Supportive ifA later filing or earnings report shows the repricing saves at least $7.3 million in cash interest each year.
Worry ifA later filing or earnings report shows savings below $7.3 million, or states that the savings target was not met.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$206 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $594 loss on $10,000 · 5.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,750 loss on $10,000 · 47.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.