Comcast (CMCSA)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$24.85+4.99%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CMCSA
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -23.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -4.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 18.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CMCSA — director transition
Dated 2026-02-27
Audit Committee member — Gordon Smith: Appointment of Gordon Smith to the Audit Committee.
Why it matters: Broadband customers fell again in Q3, and lower rates also cut broadband revenue. Smaller losses would show the customer trend is improving.
Supportive ifA later quarter reports fewer than 144,000 domestic broadband customer losses. Broadband revenue is down less than 4.7% year over year.
Worry ifDomestic broadband losses reach 144,000 or more, or broadband revenue falls at least 4.7% year over year again.
Why it matters: Free cash flow fell from $4.6 billion in Q2 to $4.2 billion in Q3. More cash could support dividends during the buyback pause.
Supportive ifQuarterly free cash flow tops $4.2 billion, and Comcast keeps paying its $1.2 billion quarterly dividend.
Worry ifQuarterly free cash flow falls below $4.2 billion, or Comcast cuts its dividend payment.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$128 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $291 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,564 loss on $10,000 · 35.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.