Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK)
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$35.04+0.14%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CNK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -8.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.5% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 18.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CNK — dividend update
Dated 2026-08-12
Other Events. On August 12, 2026, Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (the " Company ") issued a press release announcing that the Board of Directors of the Company had declared a dividend to be paid during the third quarter of 2026. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.
Why it matters: Positive net income means the company is doing better. It shows they manage costs well.
Supportive ifNet income for Q2 2026 is reported as positive.
Worry ifNet income for Q2 2026 remains negative.
Why it matters: More people attending shows that consumers are interested. It also means movies are doing well.
Supportive ifAttendance is over 39 million moviegoers in Q2 2026.
Worry ifAttendance falls below 35 million moviegoers in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: A slowdown in revenue growth could signal a shift in the box office environment. It would test the company's ability to maintain its growth trajectory.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is less than 15% compared to last year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth is more than 15% compared to last year.
Why it matters: An increase in the dividend would show strong cash flow and commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of a dividend increase above $0.09 per share.
Worry ifNo increase in the dividend from the current $0.09 per share.
Why it matters: Changes in attendance can show how consumers act. This can affect revenue.
Watch forQ3 attendance goes up compared to last year.
Also watch forQ3 attendance goes down compared to last year.
Why it matters: High net income shows the company is making more money and managing costs.
Supportive ifNet income for Q3 is over $140 million. This shows strong profitability.
Worry ifNet income is below $100 million. This may mean there are issues with making money.
Why it matters: Slower growth in admissions may show changes in what customers want or more competition.
Worry ifAdmissions growth was less than 5% in Q3 compared to last year.
Less concerning ifYear-over-year admissions growth meets or exceeds 5% in Q3.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth means the company is doing well after the pandemic.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth is over 15% from last year. This shows strong performance.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is under 10% from last year. This suggests a slowdown.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows financial health. It also shows a commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifQuarterly dividend of $0.09 per share is declared and paid in Q2 2026.
Worry ifDividend payment is reduced or omitted in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Lower net income growth may show problems making money, even with higher revenue.
Worry ifNet income growth in Q3 below 20% year over year.
Less concerning ifNet income growth in Q3 meets or exceeds 20% year over year.
Why it matters: Net income shows how profitable a company is. A drop may mean problems.
Worry ifNet income for Q3 2026 below $130 million.
Less concerning ifNet income for Q3 2026 at or above $130 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$145 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $364 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,765 loss on $10,000 · 27.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.