Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK)
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-11-05
$40.04-0.84%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CNK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 10.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 13.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CNK — dividend update
Dated 2026-08-12
Other Events. On August 12, 2026, Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (the " Company ") issued a press release announcing that the Board of Directors of the Company had declared a dividend to be paid during the third quarter of 2026. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.
Why it matters: First-half revenue rose 16.8% year over year. A lower Q3 rate would slow a key growth trend.
Worry ifQ3 2026 revenue growth is below 16.8% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 2026 revenue growth is at least 16.8% year over year.
Why it matters: The report can show whether strong Q2 results carried into Q3. It will test revenue growth and margins against recent highs.
Watch forQ3 revenue growth is at least 16.8% year over year and adjusted EBITDA margin is at least 27.1%.
Also watch forQ3 revenue growth is below 16.8% year over year or adjusted EBITDA margin is below 27.1%.
Why it matters: Q2 net income was $139.4 million, up from $93.5 million a year earlier. A lower result would break that strong quarter's level.
Worry ifQ3 net income for Cinemark is under $139 million.
Less concerning ifQ3 net income attributable to Cinemark is at least $139 million.
Why it matters: Cinemark has declared a $0.09 dividend in both 2026-Q2 and Q3. Another declaration would show it kept that payment level.
Supportive ifThe board declares another quarterly dividend of at least $0.09 per share.
Worry ifThe board sets a dividend under $0.09 per share or says there will be no quarterly dividend.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$134 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $314 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,765 loss on $10,000 · 27.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.