Cannae Holdings, Inc. (CNNE)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$15.83-0.06%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryRestaurantsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CNNE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 83.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -3.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 86.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 29 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CNNE — CFO transition
Dated 2026-06-12
Chief Financial Officer — Bryan D. Coy: Mr. Bryan D. Coy resigned from his position as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
Why it matters: Updates will show if Cannae is moving to sports and entertainment assets.
Watch forLook for news about new investments in sports or entertainment.
Also watch forNo news on new investments or changes to the strategy.
Why it matters: This guidance shows management's focus on improving cash flow. Positive cash flow is key for future investments.
Supportive ifFree Cash Flow for Q2 comes in between $35M and $45M.
Worry ifFree Cash Flow falls below $35M, indicating ongoing cash flow issues.
Why it matters: Updates on the transformation plan will show how well Cannae is doing.
Watch forManagement says they are buying more in sports and entertainment.
Also watch forThere are no new updates or purchases in sports and entertainment.
Why it matters: Increasing free cash flow is key for funding operations and growth. It impacts financial stability.
Supportive ifManagement says free cash flow has gone up a lot.
Worry ifFree cash flow remains flat or declines.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$118 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $312 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,433 loss on $10,000 · 44.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Reaching this target would show progress in making money. It shows management's focus on better earnings.
Supportive ifCannae reports Adjusted EBITDA within the target range of $80M to $90M.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA is still negative. This shows ongoing problems with making a profit.
Why it matters: Growth in the Consumer Discretionary sector may show a recovery. This helps Cannae Holdings.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth turns positive after being negative for a period.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is still negative. This shows the sector is still shrinking.
Why it matters: This guidance shows what management expects for growth. It will show if the company can bounce back from recent revenue drops.
Supportive ifActual Q2 revenue meets or exceeds the guidance range of $490M to $505M.
Worry ifQ2 revenue is below $490M. This shows the company is still having problems.
Why it matters: Improving Free Cash Flow is key to Cannae's capital strategy. It signals better cash management.
Supportive ifCannae reports Free Cash Flow in the range of $35M to $45M for Q2.
Worry ifFree Cash Flow is negative again. This shows ongoing cash management problems.
Why it matters: This range is key for checking if profits are recovering after recent losses.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA reported within the range of $80M to $90M.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA in Q2 2026 is under $80M. This shows ongoing profit problems.
Why it matters: The CFO change may change financial plans and affect investor trust. We need clarity on the future.
Watch forManagement has a clear plan for finances after the CFO change.
Also watch forThere is no clear plan or ongoing uncertainty after the CFO change.
Why it matters: This strategy focuses on sports and entertainment assets. Progress here could boost long-term value.
Watch forCannae announces new buys in sports or entertainment.
Also watch forNo new news or buys in the target sectors.
Why it matters: A clear plan from the new CFO could signal a shift in company direction. Investors will look for signs of recovery or improvement.
Supportive ifA plan has been announced. It includes cutting costs or ways to grow revenue.
Worry ifNo plan is announced or the plan lacks clear goals for improvement.
Why it matters: This guidance shows what management expects for revenue recovery. It shows their plan to change the portfolio.
Supportive ifCannae reports Q2 revenue within the guided range of $490M to $505M.
Worry ifQ2 revenue falls below $490M, indicating ongoing struggles.
Why it matters: Improving free cash flow is vital for funding operations and growth. It impacts investor sentiment.
Supportive ifFree cash flow reported positive or improving from previous quarters.
Worry ifFree cash flow reported negative or declining from previous quarters.
Why it matters: A new CFO can change financial strategy and impact cash flow. This could affect investor confidence.
Watch forAnnouncement of a new CFO with a strong track record in cash flow management.
Also watch forNo new CFO appointed or a CFO with a weak financial background.