Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Century Casinos Inc (CNTY)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.58-3.99%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for CNTY yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Improve net income and operating income | Century Casinos aims to improve financial results after recent losses. | Intact | net income and operating income fail to improve above recent lows over next 4 quarters | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 9, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earningsObserved price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk operating-improvement story, not a proven durable compounder. The long-term thesis is intact, but confidence is medium and earnings remain loss-making.
The valuation evidence describes CNTY as cheap versus peers, with a justified priced-in assessment and no flagged fragility gates. However, the expectations-gap measure is negative and model confidence is low, so the valuation signal is uncertain.
Near term, recent results show progress: operating income increased and net losses narrowed from Q1 to Q2, while Nugget Adjusted EBITDAR was up 93% in both quarters versus the prior year. The company remained loss-making, and its smaller size and history of recent misses make the next results a key risk; a delisting-related notice also adds uncertainty.
The multi-year view depends on whether CNTY can sustain Nugget performance, keep improving operating results, and complete the announced shift toward U.S. properties, which remains pending. Near term, a guidance cut would weaken the thesis, while continued strength from sector bellwethers could support the business backdrop; misses or lower guidance from those peers could remove that support.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, CNTY presents a tentative operating-improvement thesis rather than a settled recovery, with measurable progress offset by persistent losses and meaningful execution and listing-related risks. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A supporting condition in Century Casinos Inc's published investment case. The stated target is >=4% YoY revenue growth. |
| Under Pressure |
| revenue growth falls below 4% YoY in FY27 |
Revenue growth: 0.78% FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=4% YoY revenue growth. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 7, 20260.780411 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Complete strategic review and potential sale of Poland operations | Management focuses on selling Poland operations and exploring growth. | Intact | no progress or decision on Poland operations by end of FY26 | Sale agreement signed vs FY26 target Sept 2026 news confirms Highfield Investment Group acquisition of Century Mile, Downs, finalizing the Poland sale. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-1.21 → $-1.44 · observed estimates
$0.62B → $0.59B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-0.96 | $612,796,500 | 1 / 4 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-0.96 | $612,796,500 | 1 / 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-0.96 | $612,796,500 | 1 / 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-1.35 | $611,263,000 | 3 / 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-1.21 | $618,121,500 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-1.32 | $611,263,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-1.45 | $603,167,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-1.45 | $603,167,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-1.45 | $603,167,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-1.45 | $603,167,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-1.45 | $603,167,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-1.45 | $603,167,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-1.44 | $594,792,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-1.44 | $591,057,000 | 2 / 2 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 2 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
2 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.