Century Casinos Inc (CNTY)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.58-3.99%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CNTY
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -89.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 90.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers
CNTY — legal / regulatory event — Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standar…
Dated 2026-10-23
Notice of Delisting or Failure to Satisfy a Continued Listing Rule or Standard; Transfer of Listing. On October 19, 2026, Century Casinos, Inc. (the “Company”) received a deficiency notice (the “Notice”) from the Nasdaq Listing Qualifications staff (the “Staff”) of the Nasdaq Stock Market LLC notifying the Company that for the prior 30 consecutive business days, the Company’s common stock did not maintain the minimum Market Value of Listed Securities (“MVLS”) of $35 million required by the co…
Why it matters: Poland revenue fell 19% year over year in Q2, and its EBITDAR fell 97%. Management said results may improve over the next few quarters.
Supportive ifIn a coming quarter, Poland revenue grows year over year. Poland adjusted EBITDAR rises above $52,000.
Worry ifPoland revenue falls year over year again, or adjusted EBITDAR stays at or below $52,000.
Why it matters: The sale would cut annual rent by about $7.5 million. CNTY plans to use the cash to pay down debt.
Supportive ifThe sale closes by Q1 2027, CNTY receives about $16.4 million, and the two sites leave its master lease.
Worry ifThe deal misses the Q1 2027 closing window, or the sites stay in CNTY's master lease.
Why it matters: The Nugget's adjusted EBITDAR grew 93% year over year in both Q1 and Q2. A third strong quarter would extend that trend.
Supportive ifThe Nugget reports adjusted EBITDAR growth above 0% from a year ago in the next quarter.
Worry ifThe Nugget reports adjusted EBITDAR at or below its level from a year ago in its next report.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$158 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $593 loss on $10,000 · 5.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,380 loss on $10,000 · 73.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.