Century Casinos Inc (CNTY)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.21-3.97%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryGambling, Resorts & CasinosSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CNTY
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -83.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 87.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 15 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CNTY — litigation filed
Dated 2026-08-07
Regulation FD Disclosure. The information in this report and Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto (i) is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purpose of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, and (ii) shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference…
Why it matters: Q2 results will show if the company can address its earnings miss and improve financial performance.
Watch forQ2 earnings show a big rise in net income or smaller losses from Q1.
Also watch forQ2 earnings continue to show net losses or worsen compared to Q1 results.
Why it matters: If Poland's revenue improves, it shows recovery from past struggles. This could help the company overall.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue from Poland shows a year-over-year increase greater than 10%.
Worry ifQ3 revenue from Poland continues to decline year over year.
Why it matters: Better earnings would show progress on past financial problems.
Supportive ifQ2 earnings show a big improvement from last quarter's loss.
Worry ifQ2 earnings worsen compared to Q1 results.
Why it matters: Cutting losses is key for better financial health. Progress shows good management and efficiency.
Supportive ifNet losses decrease by more than 10% in Q3 2026 compared to Q2 2026.
Worry ifNet losses increase or decrease by less than 10% in Q3 2026 compared to Q2 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$160 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $566 loss on $10,000 · 5.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,812 loss on $10,000 · 58.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The outcome of the review could impact growth and financial health. Investors are keen on any sale news.
Supportive ifLook for news about a possible buyer or deal for the Poland operations.
Worry ifWatch for no news or bad news about selling Poland operations.
Why it matters: Lower net losses show better cost control and efficiency.
Supportive ifNet loss attributable to Century Casinos, Inc. shareholders decreases by more than 10% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNet loss for Century Casinos, Inc. shareholders increases in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Nugget's strong performance helps Century grow in North America. This growth boosts overall profits.
Supportive ifNugget's Adjusted EBITDAR increases by more than 90% year over year for Q3 2026.
Worry ifNugget's Adjusted EBITDAR growth falls below 90% year over year for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Growth in Adjusted EBITDAR shows that the company is making more money and working better.
Supportive ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDAR growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDAR growth is less than or equal to 0% year over year.
Why it matters: Finishing the buyback shows management's trust in the stock. It can help shareholders.
Supportive ifLook for news about finishing the share repurchase program.
Worry ifManagement may pause or cancel the share repurchase program.
Why it matters: Updates on the $1.5 million share buyback could show management's trust in the stock.
Supportive ifManagement says they will start a share buyback or make big purchases.
Worry ifNo updates or cancellation of the share buyback program.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth in North America is key to Century Casinos' overall performance. It shows if the growth trend continues.
Supportive ifQ3 North American net operating revenue grows by over 5% from last year.
Worry ifQ3 North American net operating revenue falls from last year or grows less than 5%.
Why it matters: Litigation can affect financial results and how investors feel. It’s key to watch for updates.
Worry ifNo new lawsuits or bad news from current cases in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifNew lawsuits or bad news in current cases come up.