Cohu, Inc. (COHU)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$50.72+10.31%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · COHU
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -16.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 34.3% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 50.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 72 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
COHU — earnings miss
Dated 2026-04-30
of this Current Report on Form 8-K and the Exhibit attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing. Use of Non-GAAP Financial Information: Included within this current report n…
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this guidance would confirm strong demand and revenue growth momentum.
Supportive ifQ3 sales reported at $170 million or higher.
Worry ifQ3 sales reported below $163 million.
Why it matters: If Cohu reaches this revenue, it will show their plan works in the AI market.
Supportive ifAI-driven compute revenue reported at $100 million or more.
Worry ifAI-driven compute revenue was less than $90 million.
Why it matters: Growth in this market is key to Cohu's revenue outlook and overall strategy.
Supportive ifCohu's AI-driven compute revenue grew over 20% from last year.
Worry ifAI-driven compute revenue growth is below 10% compared to last year.
Why it matters: High utilization means strong demand for Cohu's products. It also shows good operations.
Supportive ifTest cell utilization reported above 80% at the end of Q3 2026.
Worry ifTest cell utilization reported below 75% at the end of Q3 2026.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth drops, it may impact Cohu's performance. It could signal a broader slowdown in demand.
Worry ifSector revenue growth reported below its median.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows better financial health. It also shows good efficiency.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations was more than $10 million.
Worry ifCash flow from operations was less than $5 million.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows financial health. It also shows good operations and supports future investments.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations was positive for Q3. This continues the good trend.
Worry ifCash flow from operations was negative for Q3. This suggests possible problems in operations.
Why it matters: A big design win would support Cohu's strategy and growth in AI.
Supportive ifThere was a design win announcement worth over $10 million in AI-driven compute.
Worry ifNo significant design wins announced in the AI sector over the next quarter.
Why it matters: Strong growth shows that more customers are using the product. This helps long-term stability.
Supportive ifRecurring revenue growth reported above 25% YoY for Q2 2026.
Worry ifRecurring revenue growth reported below 20% YoY for Q2 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$425 on $10,000 · ±4.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $669 loss on $10,000 · 6.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,677 loss on $10,000 · 46.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.