Coca-Cola Consolidated (COKE)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-11-05
$212.50+4.07%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesBeverages - Non-alcoholicSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · COKE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -66.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 8.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 75.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 5 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
COKE — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2025-12-08
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. The disclosure required by this
Why it matters: Q2 adjusted operating income rose 6%, but reported operating income was nearly flat. The next report will show if gains last.
Watch forQ3 adjusted operating income grows at least 5% year over year.
Also watch forQ3 adjusted operating income is flat or falls year over year.
Why it matters: Higher aluminum costs cut Q2 gross margin by 210 basis points. A recovery would show pricing and cost control are catching up.
Watch forQ3 gross margin rises year over year or improves from Q2's 37.9%.
Also watch forQ3 gross margin falls below 37.9% or declines further year over year.
Why it matters: Q2 volume rose 7.6%, with holiday timing adding about 1%. Q3 can show whether demand stayed strong.
Watch forQ3 volume grows at least 6% year over year, after adjusting for selling days.
Also watch forQ3 volume growth falls below 3% year over year, after adjusting for selling days.
Why it matters: Management set a $300 million capital spending plan. Spending far above it could slow debt paydown.
Watch forFull-year 2026 capital spending is reported near $300 million, within 10% of the plan.
Also watch forFull-year 2026 capital spending tops $330 million or falls below $270 million.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$130 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $367 loss on $10,000 · 3.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,466 loss on $10,000 · 24.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.