Compass, Inc. (COMP)
NYSEReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$11.12+0.54%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · COMP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -10.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 34.7% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 45.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
COMP — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 4, 2026, Compass, Inc. (“Compass” or the “Company”) issued a press release (the “Press Release”) and will hold a conference call announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the Press Release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished with this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exch…
Why it matters: Positive free cash flow shows the company is making good cash. This means they are financially healthy.
Supportive ifFree cash flow in Q3 remains positive.
Worry ifFree cash flow turns negative in Q3.
Why it matters: Meeting this target shows the company is managing costs well. This helps with making more money.
Supportive ifManagement says they saved $330 million in costs by Q3.
Worry ifCost synergies realized fall below $330 million by Q3.
Why it matters: If revenue growth in the real estate sector speeds up, it could benefit Compass. This would signal a healthier market.
Supportive ifReal estate revenue growth is speeding up again. It is getting closer to past highs.
Worry ifRevenue growth continues to decelerate or remains flat.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows the company is financially healthy. It helps with plans to reduce debt.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow in Q3 is positive and exceeds $200 million.
Worry ifOperating cash flow in Q3 turns negative again.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$249 on $10,000 · ±2.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $507 loss on $10,000 · 5.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,081 loss on $10,000 · 50.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: High retention rates mean agents are happy. This shows stability in the brokerage.
Supportive ifAgent retention rate in Q3 remains above 95%.
Worry ifAgent retention rate drops below 90%.
Why it matters: Positive net income shows good financial health for Anywhere. It also helps investor confidence.
Supportive ifGAAP net income reported as positive in Q2 2026.
Worry ifGAAP net income reported as negative in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Keeping OPEX low helps control costs. This is key for making more money.
Worry ifNon-GAAP OPEX reported at or below $2.70B.
Less concerning ifNon-GAAP OPEX reported above $2.75B.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth shows the company is doing well in the market. It also shows good teamwork with Anywhere.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 14% year-over-year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 10% year-over-year.
Why it matters: Reaching this goal is important for making more money and lowering debt.
Supportive ifManagement says they will achieve over $500 million in cost savings by the end of 2026.
Worry ifManagement cuts the cost savings target to under $400 million.