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CPB

Campbell's Company (The)

NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-05-08

$20.84-1.93%
Close 2026-05-08 · 1-day change
The bottom line

As of May 8, 2026, CPB has a mixed analyst signal with a composite score of 1.6 and a medium confidence level of 76.0. The score is influenced by a favorable macro outlook, particularly in inflation and labor scenarios, but is offset by negative momentum and sector trends. The valuation score is 92.0, indicating it is considered inexpensive. This analysis is provisional.

Composite +1.6as of 2026-05-08

Price

Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.

Close 2026-05-08
Daily closes. Scroll over the chart to zoom; click a range to reset.
EarningsMaterial event

Factor signals

Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.

L1

Thesis

is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?
F1 · Recent financial performance
strong
Top 10% of consumer staples cohort
Why this rank
  • Direction share
    1.00
  • Slope (norm)
    0.23
  • Bonus
    0.00
Operating income, last 4 quarters ($M)
161145336273
F2 · Value
cheap
Cheapest 10% of consumer staples cohort
Why this rank
Price
$20.84
TTM EPS
$1.93
Earnings yield
9.3%
P/E (TTM)
10.8

Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2

F3 · Earnings quality
robust
Top 20% cash conversion in consumer staples cohort
Why this rank
TTM NI ($M)
515
TTM CFO ($M)
1,187
CFO/NI
2.30

Joint read: strong + robust historically delivered 80%+ NI-grew rate over T+1y in IT 2024–26 (small N).

L2

Watch

has something changed worth re-reading?
F4 · Management stability
neutral
Mid-cohort activity· see deep-dive ↓
neutral
Earnings setup · pre-print positioning
forward-looking
bearish16 analysts, 11% Buyfor period ending 2026-07-31
Why this setup
Consensus revisions

EPS estimate $0.42 → $0.42 (-0.3% / 30d). 2 raised, 2 cut, 16 covering analysts.

Rating actions

0 upgrades, 1 downgrade / 30d, 4 maintained. 11% of analysts rate Buy.

Price target activity

4 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 0.5% above current price.

F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
2

Stated priorities

Insufficient transcript history for this ticker.

3

Guidance track record

Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.

L3

Position context

how violent might the path be while I hold it?
Risk profile · realized
backward-looking
moderateworst 12m loss −41%, typical day ±1.0%
Why this risk level

Recent vol — 30d annualized 25%; 252d 29%.

Drawdown — Max 1y −41%. Bad day move −3%.

Beta to sector ETF (XLP) 1.12 over 1y.

Liquidity — score 100/100.

Sub-scores — vol 51/100, drawdown 18/100, beta 88/100, earnings vol .

Sector regime
headwind-11.7%sector vs S&P 500, 60d

via XLP

Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.

AI cycle regime · market-wide
2-axis classifier
HeatingManiaSquallCrisisEarnings →Mood ↑
HeatingE +0.13 · M +0.71
Single-axisCHASEz +2.97+1.285d

Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.

Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.

3

What changed

The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.

  1. No material changes since the prior snapshot.

No material changes since the prior snapshot.

as of 2026-05-08

4

Management scorecard

How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.

Composite44.6 / 100
Capital allocation36
Earnings discipline66
Margin discipline53
Balance sheet26
Guidance credibility
Post-call reaction42

Met or beat guidance 100% of the last 1 guided quarters · 13.3% avg surprise

as of 2026-05-08
4

What management is focused on

Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.

No qualifying priorities for this snapshot. Check back after the next refresh.

5

How this stock is priced

Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.

Compared to peers
92higher = cheaper

Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.

Compared to its own history
97higher = cheaper

Cheaper than its own typical valuation.

P/E
8.1x
EV/EBITDA
7.0x
FCF yield
10.5%

P/E over the last 5 years

67 monthly points
inexpensiveas of 2026-05-08
7

How this compares

A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.

StockCompositeValuationRisk
CPB
Campbell's Company (The)
+1.6inexpensivemoderate
WMT
Walmart
-9.3expensivelow
COST
Costco
+3.9expensivemoderate
PG
Procter & Gamble
+15fairlow
KO
Coca-Cola Company (The)
+14fulllow
8

Risk — how this stock moves

What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.

A typical day
How much price usually moves either way.
1.0%
A bad day (95th %ile)
A rough but not unusual down day.
-3.1%
Worst 12-month loss
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
-41.1%
Earnings-day move
How much price usually moves on earnings day.
moderateas of 2026-05-08
9

What could change this view

Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.

Upside triggers
  • If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently LOWERED as of 2026-03-11)+16 pts
  • If consumer_staples sector trend rises from +0.05 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
  • If inflation state reverses from -0.34 (negative) to +0.34 (positive)+3.4 pts
Downside triggers
  • If labor state reverses from -0.31 (negative) to +0.31 (positive)-6.2 pts
  • If consumer_staples sector trend falls from +0.05 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
10

Material updates

Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.

  1. 2026-03-111mo agoItem 2.02

    and Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

    earnings preannouncementnegativescore 21
  2. 2025-12-095mo agoItem 2.02

    and Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

    earnings preannouncementneutralscore 2
  3. 2025-12-095mo agoItem 1.01

    Entry Into a Material Definitive Agreement. Purchase Agreements On December 8, 2025, Campbell Investment Company, a Delaware corporation (“ CIC ”) and subsidiary of The Campbell’s Company (“ Campbell’s ”), entered into a Sale and Purchase Agreement (the “ Sale and Purchase Agreement ”), with Antonio Romano, Felice Romano, Luigi Romano, Natalina Romano, Evolve S.r.l., a limited liability company ( società a responsabilità limitata ) incorporated under the laws of Italy, and F.A.L. Holdings LLC…

    mna activitypositivescore 2
  4. 2025-12-154mo agoItem 8.01

    Other Information. On December 11, 2025, The Campbell’s Company (“Campbell’s” or the “Company”) priced an offering of $550,000,000 aggregate principal amount of senior unsecured notes bearing interest at a fixed rate of 4.550% per annum, due March 21, 2031 (the “Notes”). The Notes were offered and sold pursuant to an Underwriting Agreement dated December 11, 2025 (the “Underwriting Agreement”) among Campbell’s and Barclays Capital Inc., BNP Paribas Securities Corp., BofA Securities, Inc., Cit…

    capital allocationneutralscore 2
  5. 2025-12-095mo agoItem 3.02

    Sales of Unregistered Securities The information set forth under

    capital allocationnegativescore 2
11

Score history

The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.

60 snapshots
Data freshness · As of 2026-05-08 · Macro 2026-05-08 · Sector 2026-05-07 · Fundamentals 2026-03-11 · Price 2026-05-07 · Generated 2026-05-08 · Spec 2.3

Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.