Crane (CR)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$204.69+0.87%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CR
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 9.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 13.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 63 industry peers
CR — CEO transition
Dated 2026-01-26
CEO — Alejandro (Alex) Alcala: The current CEO is transitioning to Executive Chairman while an internal executive (COO) is promoted to CEO, representing an orderly succession rather than a loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Strong backlog growth shows good future revenue and strong demand.
Supportive ifCore backlog growth is over 9% compared to last year.
Worry ifCore backlog growth falls below 9% year-over-year.
Why it matters: If the industrial sector grows again, it could help Crane's performance.
Watch forSector revenue growth speeds up to over 8% compared to last year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth keeps slowing down or stays under 6% compared to last year.
Why it matters: An increase in EPS guidance would show strong growth and confidence in earnings. This could attract more investors.
Supportive ifManagement announces an increase in EPS guidance for 2026 during the next earnings call.
Worry ifEPS guidance remains unchanged or is lowered during the next earnings call.
Why it matters: If EPS guidance goes up again, it shows strong growth and management confidence.
Supportive ifManagement raises the full year adjusted EPS to over $7.05.
Worry ifManagement keeps or lowers full year adjusted EPS guidance to under $6.85.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$107 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $283 loss on $10,000 · 2.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,339 loss on $10,000 · 23.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Earnings results will provide insights into Crane's performance and market conditions. It will help assess growth potential.
Watch forEarnings results show revenue growth above 8% year over year.
Also watch forEarnings results show revenue growth below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Keeping or raising dividends shows strong finances and care for shareholders. This can help investor trust.
Supportive ifCrane announces a dividend increase during the next earnings call.
Worry ifCrane announces no change or a decrease in dividends during the next earnings call.
Why it matters: The new CEO's plan will show how he plans to lead Crane. It may impact future growth and investor confidence.
Supportive ifCEO Alejandro Alcala announced the new plans and goals for the company.
Worry ifThere is no announcement. The future plans of the company are unclear.
Why it matters: Steady or higher dividends show strong cash flow and a promise to give value to shareholders.
Supportive ifManagement announces a dividend increase to more than $0.255 per share.
Worry ifManagement maintains the dividend at $0.255 per share without an increase.
Why it matters: The new CEO's approach could shape future performance and strategic direction.
Watch forCEO Alcala announced positive plans within six months.
Also watch forThere is no clear strategy or performance issues after the transition.
Why it matters: The new CEO's leadership may affect investor trust and the company's direction.
Watch forMarket reacts positively to the CEO transition with a stock price increase.
Also watch forMarket reacts negatively to the CEO transition with a stock price decrease.
Why it matters: Higher operating margins mean more money. They also show better efficiency and support growth.
Supportive ifOperating margin was above 21.3% for Q3.
Worry ifOperating margin falls below 19.9% in Q3.
Why it matters: Core sales growth shows strong demand and good market position.
Supportive ifCore sales growth in Aerospace and Advanced Technologies is over 10% in Q2.
Worry ifCore sales growth in Aerospace and Advanced Technologies is under 5% in Q2.
Why it matters: Better cash flow means more efficiency and better financial health.
Supportive ifCash from operations turns positive in Q2 2026.
Worry ifCash from operations remains negative in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Steady core sales growth shows strong demand and good market execution.
Supportive ifCore sales growth reported above 5% in Q3.
Worry ifCore sales growth reported below 5% in Q3.
Why it matters: Paying off debt helps financial health and lowers interest costs.
Supportive ifCompany repays over $90 million in debt after Q2.
Worry ifNo big debt repayment happens after Q2.