Crescent Energy Company (CRGY)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-05
$11.14-5.03%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CRGY
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -46.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 24.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 70.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 27 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CRGY — credit agreement
Dated 2026-10-15
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On October 14, 2026, Crescent Energy Finance LLC, a Delaware limited liability company (“Crescent Finance”) and a wholly owned subsidiary of Crescent Energy Company (NYSE: CRGY) (the “Company” or “Crescent”), entered into that certain Sixteenth Amendment to Credit Agreement (the “Credit Agreement Amendment”), which amended Crescent’s existing Credit Agreement, dated as of May 6, 2021 (as amended by the First Amendment to Credit Agreement, dated as o…
Why it matters: Crescent raised its 2026 production range to 327 to 335 MBoe/d. A result below the range would break that growth signal.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 production is below 327 MBoe/d.
Less concerning ifFull-year 2026 production is at least 327 MBoe/d.
Why it matters: Crescent lowered its cost outlook to $11 to $12 per Boe. A higher result would show that cost savings fell short.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 adjusted operating costs are more than $12 per Boe.
Less concerning ifFull-year 2026 adjusted operating costs are $12 per Boe or less.
Why it matters: The share sale is meant to cover part of the deal cost. Its final size and terms show how much equity funding Crescent raises.
Worry ifThe offering closes near $1 billion, with final terms disclosed in a filing or release.
Less concerning ifThe offering is withdrawn, closes well below $1 billion, or has terms that leave a larger funding gap.
Why it matters: Crescent raised its Permian savings goal to $250 million to $300 million, with $190 million captured. More savings can help lower costs.
Supportive ifCrescent reports that it captured at least $250 million in Permian synergies.
Worry ifCrescent reports less than $250 million captured and cuts or delays its synergy goal.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$190 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $544 loss on $10,000 · 5.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,434 loss on $10,000 · 34.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.