CRH plc (CRH)
NYSEMaterialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-05
NYSEMaterialsConstruction MaterialsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CRH
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 2.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 5.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 21 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CRH — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-29
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 29, 2026, CRH plc (the ‘Company’) issued a press release announcing the financial results of the Company for the fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the announcement is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The Company will host an earnings conference call and webcast presentation to discuss its quarterly results on October 29, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. (EDT). Inve…
Why it matters: The materials sector has been shrinking, though recent data hints at a change. Positive growth would support a better backdrop for CRH.
Supportive ifThe sector's three-year revenue growth turns positive.
Worry ifThe sector's three-year revenue growth stays near -1% or falls further.
Why it matters: CRH says this program will lift margins, but it also brings about $400 million in costs. Savings near the goal would show progress.
Supportive ifCRH reports annual run-rate benefits of about $400 million by the end of 2028.
Worry ifCRH reports annual run-rate benefits below $400 million at the end of 2028, or delays the target.
Why it matters: CRH cut its 2026 profit range after Q3. A result below $7.8 billion would deepen the shortfall from its prior outlook.
Worry ifFY26 Adjusted EBITDA is below $7.8 billion, the new low end of the company’s range.
Less concerning ifFY26 Adjusted EBITDA is at least $7.8 billion.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$128 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $362 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,950 loss on $10,000 · 39.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.