Carter's, Inc. (CRI)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$32.64-2.91%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CRI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -25.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 5.3% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 31.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 2 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CRI — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-30
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 30, 2026, Carter’s, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results for its fiscal quarter ended October 3, 2026. A copy of that press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information in the Current Report on Form 8-K is being furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or othe…
Why it matters: The company gave its flagship brand a new logo and promise. Higher comparable sales would show that parents respond.
Supportive ifU.S. Retail comparable sales rise above Q3's 0.4% in a later reported quarter.
Worry ifU.S. Retail comparable sales fall below zero in a later reported quarter.
Why it matters: Q3 U.S. Retail comparable sales rose just 0.4%. A drop would add to signs of pressure on shoppers.
Worry ifU.S. Retail comparable sales fall below zero year over year in the next reported quarter.
Less concerning ifU.S. Retail comparable sales stay at or above zero year over year.
Why it matters: Higher prices and productivity lifted Q3 adjusted operating income. The key test for the year is whether those gains outweigh tariffs and costs.
Supportive ifFY2026 adjusted operating income grows at least 1% from $176 million in FY2025.
Worry ifFY2026 adjusted operating income is flat or lower than $176 million.
Why it matters: Carter's lowered its sales outlook amid pressure on shoppers. Meeting the range would keep full-year sales growth on track.
Supportive ifFY2026 net sales grow 2% to 3% from $2.898 billion in FY2025.
Worry ifFY2026 net sales grow less than 2% or decline from FY2025.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$163 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $416 loss on $10,000 · 4.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,410 loss on $10,000 · 34.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.