Comstock Resources, Inc. (CRK)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-05
$13.32-0.45%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CRK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 39.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -16.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 55.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 28 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CRK — earnings in line
Dated 2026-11-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 4, 2026, Comstock Resources, Inc. ("Comstock" or the "Company") announced financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the press release announcing Comstock's earnings and operating results for this period and other matters is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The earnings press release contains financial measures that are not in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States ("GA…
Why it matters: Q2 production rose 16% from Q1 and was 1% above the prior year. Another increase would show growth continued.
Supportive ifQ3 production is above 113.1 Bcfe, the Q2 level, and above Q3 2025 production.
Worry ifQ3 production is below 113.1 Bcfe or falls below the year-ago level.
Why it matters: The deal could cut net debt from $3.1B to $1.5B. A close would confirm the planned balance-sheet change.
Supportive ifA company filing or release confirms the $1.65B SOCAR cash deal closed and reports net debt near $1.5B.
Worry ifThe deal is delayed, canceled, or closes without the stated $1.65B payment.
Why it matters: The joint venture is set to fund Haynesville wells. Its funding and well activity show whether the plan is moving ahead.
Supportive ifA company filing or release confirms funding for the $450M joint venture. It names the Haynesville wells it will pay for.
Worry ifThe joint venture is canceled, funding is reduced, or no wells are identified as funded.
Why it matters: Q2 costs were $0.77 per Mcfe, below the first-half average of $0.85. A rise above that level would reverse the recent improvement.
Worry ifQ3 production costs exceed $0.85 per Mcfe.
Less concerning ifQ3 production costs stay at or below $0.77 per Mcfe.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$190 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $610 loss on $10,000 · 6.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,499 loss on $10,000 · 55.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.