Salesforce (CRM)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
$222.41-2.07%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CRM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 0.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 12.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 61 industry peers
CRM — restructuring
Dated 2026-09-16
Regulation FD Disclosure. On September 16, 2026, Salesforce, Inc. (the “Company”) posted to its website an investor presentation used in the Company’s September 16, 2026 Investor Day event, including information regarding the Company’s financial performance, guidance, growth targets and projections, market opportunity, competitive position and economic model. A copy of the presentation is included with this Form 8-K for convenience and attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information in this…
Why it matters: Salesforce kept its cash flow growth goal while investing in products and acquisitions. Missing it would weaken the cash story.
Supportive ifFY27 operating cash flow and free cash flow each grow 4% to 5% year over year, or more.
Worry ifEither measure grows less than 4% year over year for FY27.
Why it matters: Salesforce set Q3 revenue guidance at $11.42B to $11.5B. A result above that range would back its growth story.
Supportive ifOn December 2, Salesforce reports Q3 FY27 revenue above $11.5B and cRPO growth at or above 14%.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is below $11.42B, or cRPO growth is below 14%.
Why it matters: These products are a key part of Salesforce's AI growth case. Slower growth would weaken that case.
Supportive ifAt the next results, Agentforce and Data 360 ARR growth stays above 200% year over year, from nearly $3.9B in Q2.
Worry ifTheir combined ARR growth falls below 200% year over year.
Why it matters: Salesforce announced a Braze deal on October 20. Closing and the stated deal terms will show whether the plan moves ahead.
Watch forSalesforce reports that the Braze deal closes on the announced terms and gives a clear closing update.
Also watch forSalesforce or Braze ends the deal, or reports a material change to its terms.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$192 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $423 loss on $10,000 · 4.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,347 loss on $10,000 · 43.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.