CuriosityStream, Inc. (CURI)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.52-5.26%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CURI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 128.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 14.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 113.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers
CURI — CEO transition
Dated 2026-08-26
CFO — Brady Hayden: The CFO is stepping down with a named successor appointed simultaneously, indicating an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: The company set a $6-$10 million second-half adjusted EBITDA range. Q3 results will test its profit pace.
Watch forQ3 adjusted EBITDA is above $6 million. This keeps the company on pace for its $6-$10 million second-half range.
Also watch forQ3 adjusted EBITDA is $6 million or less, putting the lower end of the second-half range at risk.
Why it matters: Licensing made up most Q2 revenue and grew 48% year over year. Another increase would support the company's licensing growth plan.
Supportive ifQ3 licensing revenue tops Q2's $14.1 million.
Worry ifQ3 licensing revenue is below $14.1 million.
Why it matters: The company needs $38-$41 million in second-half revenue to meet its raised 2026 outlook. Q3 results will show whether growth is on pace.
Watch forQ3 revenue is at least $18 million, keeping the company on pace for its $38-$41 million second-half range.
Also watch forQ3 revenue is below $18 million, making the second-half revenue range harder to reach.
Why it matters: Sean Piche became CFO on September 1, 2026. The November 11 report is his first chance to show steady financial reporting and execution.
Watch forThe November 11 report keeps the $77-$82 million revenue and $18-$22 million adjusted EBITDA outlook. It reports no delay or change in financial reporting.
Also watch forThe report cuts either 2026 range or discloses a delay or issue in financial reporting.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$182 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $680 loss on $10,000 · 6.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,948 loss on $10,000 · 49.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.