CuriosityStream, Inc. (CURI)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-09-04
$2.71-6.55%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CURI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 109.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 12.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 97.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name its industry peers have been missing lately and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CURI — CEO transition
Dated 2026-08-26
CFO — Brady Hayden: The CFO is stepping down with a named successor appointed simultaneously, indicating an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Changes to the dividend may show management's confidence in future cash flow and growth.
Watch forAn increase in the quarterly dividend above $0.085 has been announced.
Also watch forAnnouncement of a dividend cut or freeze.
Why it matters: This range shows the company is still making money. It supports the higher full-year EBITDA guidance.
Supportive ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA was between $6 million and $10 million.
Worry ifQ3 Adjusted EBITDA was less than $5 million.
Why it matters: If revenue growth turns positive, it may signal a recovery in the sector. This could improve CuriosityStream's outlook.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth shows a positive change, moving above 0% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains negative year over year.
Why it matters: Confirming the $75-$80 million target shows confidence in growth and strength.
Supportive ifManagement says revenue for 2026 will be $75-$80 million during the earnings call.
Worry ifManagement cuts 2026 revenue guidance to less than $75 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$240 on $10,000 · ±2.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $685 loss on $10,000 · 6.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,334 loss on $10,000 · 53.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A good merger can boost growth and efficiency in an important market.
Supportive ifLook for news about new revenue or better operations from the German team.
Worry ifWatch for reports of problems or delays in merging the German operations.
Why it matters: This earnings report will provide key updates on revenue and EBITDA targets. It is a critical moment for the company.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue and EBITDA targets are on track or exceeded.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows big misses on revenue and EBITDA targets.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows CuriosityStream is growing. It also backs the full-year guidance.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at $38 million or higher.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $35 million.