Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG)
NYSEIndustrialsTruckingSnapshot 2026-11-04
$33.88+1.13%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsTruckingSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CVLG
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -31.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 16.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 47.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CVLG — dividend update
Dated 2026-08-17
Other Events. On August 13, 2026, the Board of Directors (the “Board”) of Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., a Nevada corporation (the “Company”), declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.07 per share of Class A and Class B common stock. The quarterly cash dividend is pursuant to a quarterly cash dividend program previously approved by the Board. The dividend is payable to stockholders of record on September 4, 2026, and is expected to be paid on September 25, 2026. A copy of the press release a…
Why it matters: Management said earnings should improve in Q4 as more trucks enter committed contracts. Another increase would support that plan.
Supportive ifQ4 adjusted earnings per diluted share exceed $0.50, above Q3's $0.50.
Worry ifQ4 adjusted earnings per diluted share are $0.50 or lower.
Why it matters: About 80% of fleet assets had long-term contracts at Q3 end. More contracts may lower start-up costs and steady revenue.
Supportive ifThe share of fleet assets under long-term contracts rises above 80% in the next reported quarter.
Worry ifThe share stays at or below 80%, or falls, in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: Warehousing revenue grew in Q3, but operating income fell from last year. A recovery would show that higher sales are turning into more income.
Supportive ifWarehousing income tops $2.498 million in a later quarter.
Worry ifWarehousing income is $1.697 million or less in the next reported quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$139 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $396 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,222 loss on $10,000 · 42.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.