California Water Service Group (CWT)
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated WaterSnapshot 2026-11-04
$49.96+1.73%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEUtilitiesRegulated WaterSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CWT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 9.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 2.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CWT — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-28
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On October 28, 2026, California Water Service Group (the “Company”) issued a press release (a copy of which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference) announcing its financial results for the third quarter of 2026, ended September 30, 2026. As announced, the Company will host a conference call on Thursday, October 29, 2026, at 11:00 am EDT to discuss financial results and management’s business outlook. The financial r…
Why it matters: Both regulators approved the deals. Closing would complete a stated growth plan; a delay would leave it unfinished.
Supportive ifThe company reports that both the Nevada and Oregon acquisitions closed by Dec. 31, 2026.
Worry ifEither deal remains open after Dec. 31, 2026, or the company reports a delay or cancellation.
Why it matters: The company has 18 plants under construction and expects $228 million in treatment and well work. Cost recovery can limit the burden on customers.
Watch forA company update reports more PFAS cost recovery beyond the $59.4 million already recovered. It also reports progress on the 18 plants being built.
Also watch forA company update reports PFAS recovery at or below $59.4 million. Treatment spending rises above the reported $23 million year to date.
Why it matters: The new debt would fund ongoing work and the planned deals. Its interest rates range from 6.08% to 6.54%.
Watch forThe company reports issuing the $125 million in notes and $150 million in bonds by Dec. 31, 2026.
Also watch forThe company reports that either debt issue is delayed, reduced, or canceled after Dec. 31, 2026.
Why it matters: Q3 net income rose to $65.4 million from $61.2 million. A recent data signal also shows company momentum fell sharply.
Watch forQ4 net income is above $61.2 million, the Q3 2025 comparison, and diluted EPS is above $1.03.
Also watch forQ4 net income is below $61.2 million or diluted EPS is below $1.03.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$80 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $242 loss on $10,000 · 2.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,409 loss on $10,000 · 14.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.