Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Crane NXT (CXT)
NYSEInformation TechnologyIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
$59.29-3.78%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
4.73 → 4.73 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 5 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 5 to 5; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for CXT yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maintain dividend payments at $0.18 per share | A supporting condition in Crane NXT's published investment case. The stated target is Dividend per share >= $0.18. | Intact | Dividend per share falls below $0.18 next 4 quarters | Dividend per share: $0.18 per share FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: Dividend per share >= $0.18. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Nov 4, 20260.18 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
CXT is a growth-and-execution story with some acquisition-driven growth, rather than a low-risk compounder. Its long-term thesis is intact, though confidence has eased from high to medium and earnings quality is rated fragile.
The valuation evidence is mixed: CXT is described as cheap versus peers, while another measure shows a 48% premium to peers. The expectations gap is negative, and the model labels the current setup justified, with low fragility rather than a broadly stretched and fragile combination.
Near-term results have been neutral overall, with recent earnings beats and management priorities showing progress in revenue growth, operating margins, and dividends. Revenue growth includes both acquisitions and organic sales, while organic growth was 3% in 2026-Q2; the earlier dip in operating profit and fragile earnings quality remain risks.
The main downside scenario is a guidance cut after the recent raise, which could damage management credibility. A more favorable setting would include lower interest rates and stabilization among technology peers, while continued delivery on organic growth and margins would support the multi-year thesis.
Over the next one to three years, CXT’s case rests on sustaining growth and margin progress without a guidance reversal. The thesis remains intact, but elevated risk and medium confidence call for a measured reading of the evidence. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Stated in 4 of 4 supplied quarters. Management reported: “We remain focused on disciplined capital deployment to support growth and create long-term shareholder value."” “First Quarter 2026 Dividend Crane NXT announced its quarterly dividend of $0.18 per share, an increase of 6% over the prior year, for the first quarter of 2026.”
Operating income improvement or stabilization | A supporting condition in Crane NXT's published investment case. The stated target is Operating income stabilizes or improves from $22.2M. | Intact | Operating income falls below $20M next 4 quarters | Operating income: $65.7M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: Operating income stabilizes or improves from $22.2M. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Nov 4, 202665,700,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue growth of 15% to 17% in 2026 | A primary condition in Crane NXT's published investment case. The stated target is 15% to 17% YoY revenue growth. | Intact | YoY revenue growth falls below 12% in FY26 | Revenue growth: 11.68% FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: 15% to 17% YoY revenue growth. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Nov 4, 202611.682768 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$4.73 → $4.73 · observed estimates
$2.03B → $2.04B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $4.73 | $2,029,587,334 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-07-25 | $4.73 | $2,039,920,670 | 6 / 6 |
| 2026-07-26 | $4.73 | $2,039,920,670 | 6 / 6 |
| 2026-07-27 | $4.73 | $2,029,587,334 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-07-28 | $4.73 | $2,039,920,670 | 6 / 6 |
| 2026-07-29 | $4.73 | $2,039,920,670 | 6 / 6 |
| 2026-07-30 | $4.73 | $2,039,920,670 | 6 / 6 |
| 2026-07-31 | $4.73 | $2,029,587,334 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-01 | $4.73 | $2,029,587,334 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-02 | $4.73 | $2,039,920,670 | 6 / 6 |
| 2026-08-03 | $4.73 | $2,039,920,670 | 6 / 6 |
| 2026-08-04 | $4.73 | $2,039,920,670 | 6 / 6 |
| 2026-08-05 | $4.73 | $2,029,587,334 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-06 | $4.73 | $2,029,587,334 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-07 | $4.73 | $2,029,587,334 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-08 | $4.74 | $2,040,035,840 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-09 | $4.74 | $2,040,035,840 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-10 | $4.74 | $2,040,035,840 | 5 / 6 |
| 2026-08-11 | $4.73 | $2,029,587,334 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-12 | $4.70 | $2,035,471,640 | 6 / 6 |
| 2026-08-13 | $4.70 | $2,035,471,640 | 6 / 6 |
| 2026-08-14 | $4.73 | $2,029,587,334 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-15 | $4.73 | $2,029,587,334 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-16 | $4.73 | $2,029,587,334 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-17 | $4.73 | $2,029,587,334 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-18 | $4.73 | $2,029,587,334 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-19 | $4.73 | $2,029,587,334 | 4 / 5 |
| 2026-08-20 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-08-21 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-08-22 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-08-23 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-08-24 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-08-25 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-08-26 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-08-27 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-08-28 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-08-29 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-08-30 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-08-31 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-01 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-02 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-03 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-04 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-05 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-06 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-07 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-08 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-09 | $4.70 | $2,035,521,636 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-10 | $4.70 | $2,035,598,586 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-11 | $4.70 | $2,035,598,586 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-12 | $4.70 | $2,035,598,586 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-13 | $4.70 | $2,035,598,586 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-14 | $4.70 | $2,035,598,586 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-15 | $4.70 | $2,035,598,586 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-16 | $4.70 | $2,035,598,586 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-17 | $4.70 | $2,035,598,586 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-18 | $4.70 | $2,035,598,586 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-19 | $4.70 | $2,035,598,586 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-20 | $4.70 | $2,035,598,586 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-21 | $4.70 | $2,035,598,586 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-22 | $4.70 | $2,035,598,586 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-23 | $4.71 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-24 | $4.71 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-25 | $4.71 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-26 | $4.71 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-27 | $4.71 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-28 | $4.71 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-29 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-09-30 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-01 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-02 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-03 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-04 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-05 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-06 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-07 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-08 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-09 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-10 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-11 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-12 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-13 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-14 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-15 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-16 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-17 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-18 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-19 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-20 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-21 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-22 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-23 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-24 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-25 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-26 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-27 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-28 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-29 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-30 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-10-31 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-11-01 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-11-02 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-11-03 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
| 2026-11-04 | $4.73 | $2,040,084,502 | 5 / 5 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 6 Buy / Strong Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.