Crane NXT (CXT)
NYSEInformation TechnologyIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
$59.29-3.78%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CXT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -18.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 11.3% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 30.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CXT — director transition
Dated 2026-10-07
Director — Jeong H. Kim: The filing announces the appointment of a new director to the Board, which is a routine governance event and not the departure of an executive.
Why it matters: CXT linked lower CPI volumes to pressure on results in both Q1 and Q2. A clear recovery would remove a repeated drag.
Watch forManagement reports that CPI volumes are no longer lower year over year in Q3.
Also watch forManagement again cites lower CPI volumes as a drag on Q3 results.
Why it matters: The sector data show growth is easing, but CXT's own results are the direct test. Slower company sales growth would add to that concern.
Worry ifCXT reports Q3 total sales growth below 15%, under its 2026 full-year growth range.
Less concerning ifCXT reports Q3 total sales growth of at least 15% and keeps its 2026 sales growth range of 15% to 17%.
Why it matters: CXT raised its 2026 profit range after strong first-half results. Q3 results on November 4 can show whether that pace holds.
Watch forQ3 adjusted EPS is at least $1.10, and CXT keeps or raises its $4.22–$4.42 full-year range.
Also watch forCXT cuts its $4.22–$4.42 full-year range or reports Q3 adjusted EPS below $1.00.
Why it matters: CXT raised its SAT growth range while Q2 SAT organic sales rose 9.6%. Q3 results will test whether that strength continues.
Watch forCXT keeps or raises its 2026 SAT sales growth range of high single digits to low double digits. Q3 SAT organic sales grow at least 5%.
Also watch forCXT lowers the SAT growth range or Q3 SAT organic sales growth falls below 0%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$147 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $415 loss on $10,000 · 4.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,334 loss on $10,000 · 43.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.