Crane NXT (CXT)
NYSEInformation TechnologyIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$50.06+0.14%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · CXT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -35.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 44.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 63 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
CXT — director transition
Dated 2026-03-12
Director — Jeffrey Benck: Jeffrey Benck was appointed as a director of the Board, and James L.L. Tullis will not stand for reelection at the Annual Meeting.
Why it matters: A decline in net income margin could signal issues with cost management or pricing power.
Worry ifNet income margin reported below 7%.
Less concerning ifNet income margin reported at or above 7%.
Why it matters: A big improvement shows better cost control and how well the company runs.
Supportive ifOperating income goes up by more than 50% from the last quarter.
Worry ifOperating income goes up by less than 50% from the last quarter.
Why it matters: A decline shows problems in cost management. This could hurt future profits.
Worry ifOperating income in Q2 drops below $22.2 million.
Less concerning ifOperating income in Q2 is $22.2 million or more.
Why it matters: An increase would show strong confidence in ongoing performance and growth.
Supportive ifManagement raises full year Adjusted EPS guidance to more than $4.42.
Worry ifManagement keeps or lowers full year Adjusted EPS guidance.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$155 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $406 loss on $10,000 · 4.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,721 loss on $10,000 · 47.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Keeping or raising the dividend shows financial health and care for shareholders.
Supportive ifCrane NXT announces a dividend increase above $0.18 per share.
Worry ifCrane NXT announces a dividend cut or keeps it at $0.18 per share.
Why it matters: An increase would reflect strong cash flow and commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Supportive ifManagement announces a dividend increase to more than $0.18 per share.
Worry ifManagement maintains the dividend at $0.18 per share.
Why it matters: Paying dividends shows the company is doing well. It also shows they care about shareholders.
Supportive ifManagement says they will pay dividends for Q3 2026.
Worry ifManagement says they will cut or stop dividend payments.
Why it matters: A cut in guidance may show weaker performance or problems with growth targets.
Worry ifFull year Adjusted EPS guidance revised down to below $4.22.
Less concerning ifFull year Adjusted EPS guidance remains at or above $4.22.
Why it matters: Keeping or raising the dividend shows good financial health and care for shareholders.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of a dividend at or above $0.18 per share for Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo dividend announcement or a decrease in the dividend for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if Crane NXT meets its growth targets after the Antares Vision acquisition.
Watch forQ2 2026 earnings show organic sales growth above 6% and adjusted EPS within $4.10 to $4.40.
Also watch forQ2 2026 earnings report shows organic sales growth below 6% or adjusted EPS below $4.10.
Why it matters: Another earnings miss shows ongoing problems and may hurt investor trust.
Worry ifQ2 2026 earnings per share falls below $0.60.
Less concerning ifQ2 2026 earnings per share meets or exceeds $0.60.
Why it matters: This would indicate a slowdown in revenue growth, which is a key priority for management.
Worry ifQ3 organic sales growth is below 3%.
Less concerning ifQ3 organic sales growth reported at or above 3%.